Texas Pacific Land Corporation

TPL Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Delayed 15 min
Last close
$346.52
Oct 16, 2026
52-week range
$269.23 — $547.20
-37% from high
Market cap
23.9B
Diluted basis
Dividend yield
0.7%
P/E
46.0
Trailing
Filing.fyi verdict · Oct 16, 2026

Deep value.

Texas Pacific Land's 2025 revenue rose 13.1%, with cash flow exceeding net income.

Bullish Beneish: -2.49Altman Z″: 15.97Piotroski: 4/9
RED DEEP 83 / 100
Composite Health
Forensic readings · derived from the latest filing

The four readings.

Each score answers a different question. The composite at the top is the average; the disagreement below is the story.
Beneish M Earnings manipulation
-2.49
Clean
−3.0 threshold −1.78 +1.0
Altman Z″ Bankruptcy proximity
15.97
Safe
0 threshold 1.10 / 2.60 4.0
Piotroski F Fundamental health (0–9)
4
Mixed
0 threshold 6+ 9
AI synthesis · written from this company's SEC filings · not investment advice

What the filing actually says.

AI · forensic preset

The filings show a company with strong reported profitability and screening scores that point away from accounting distress. Net income for 2025 was $481.38 million, up from $453.96 million in 2024, and operating cash flow of $545.91 million was 1.13 times net income, meaning reported cash generation ran ahead of accounting profit in the year. Those figures should be weighed against the risk-factor language on commodity prices and third-party operator decisions. The Beneish M-Score is -2.493, which falls below the -1.78 threshold and is labeled not in the elevated zone. In plain terms, this screening model did not flag the 2025 numbers for a closer manipulation review, but a screen is not proof either way. The Altman Z-double-prime score is 15.97, which the label places in the safe zone at 2.60 or above, indicating low near-term financial distress on this non-bank business. The Piotroski F-Score is 4 of 7 computable signals, a moderate reading rather than a top-tier one, meaning four of the computable checks were favorable. The Fog Index is not on file, so no readability assessment of the MD&A is offered. The Q1 2026 10-Q states that disclosure controls were effective as of March 31, 2026, that no internal control changes were reported in the quarter, and that the CFO adopted a Rule 10b5-1 arrangement to sell up to 4,000 shares beginning June 5, 2026. Readers may want to look at how the Transmissive spending and the seismic response area limits develop in future filings, since the 2025 balance sheet expanded considerably while liabilities also rose.

Catalyst.Management's 2025 annual results show revenue of $798.19 million, up 13.1% from $705.82 million in 2024, with operating income reaching $592.16 million compared with $539.14 million a year earlier. The 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 reports no material pending legal proceedings and no share repurchases during that quarter. The excerpts provided do not break out which royalty or water-services activities drove the revenue increase, so segment-level drivers are not visible here. Readers may want to look at the full MD&A for segment detail behind the revenue growth.

Hidden risk.The risk factors tie oil and gas royalty revenue to commodity prices and to decisions made by third-party operators, which the company says it does not control. The Texas Railroad Commission has implemented seismic response areas that limit saltwater disposal in parts of the Delaware and Midland Basins, and the filing notes that in January 2024 deep produced water injections were indefinitely suspended in Culberson and Reeves counties. The Transmissive desalination project may exceed cost estimates and may require additional unplanned capital. Total liabilities rose to $164.37 million at year-end 2025 from $115.56 million a year earlier, an increase of about 42.2%, while total assets grew to $1.62 billion from $1.25 billion.

Market signals · from trading data, not filings

What traders are betting.

The scores above come from what TPL reports to the SEC. These readings come from how traders are positioned in its shares. They change quickly, they can be wrong, and they are not part of the verdict.
Short interest Shares sold short · reported twice a month
8.9%
of the shares available to trade
Moderate
0%5% · 10% · 20%25%+

The metric

Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.

Shares sold short
4.2M
Change since Aug 31
−8.8%
Days to cover
11

What it tells us

A noticeable minority of traders is betting that TPL shares will fall.

Little changed since the Aug 31 report (−8.8%).

Short sellers would need about 11 days of normal trading to buy back every borrowed share. That is a very slow exit, so a rush to cover could move the price sharply.

How investors use it

  • Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
  • Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
  • Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
  • Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.

Lesson: short interest, explained →

Short-interest report for Sep 30, 2026, via Yahoo Finance. Reports come out about a week and a half after that date.

SEC filings · last 12 months

Annual report, quarterly reports & proxy statement

The annual report (10-K), quarterly reports (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) Texas Pacific Land filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.

  • Sep 25, 2026
    8-K
    Current reportItem 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors; Item 5.08: Shareholder director nominations
    ★ Curriculum-relevant
    EDGAR →
  • Aug 5, 2026
    10-Q
    Quarterly report0
    EDGAR →
  • Aug 5, 2026
    8-K
    Current reportItem 2.02: Results of operations (earnings); Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)0
    EDGAR →
  • May 6, 2026
    10-Q
    Quarterly report (2026-03-31)Period: 2026-03-310
    EDGAR →
  • May 6, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-05-05)Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)0
    EDGAR →
  • Apr 9, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-04-09)Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)0
    EDGAR →
  • Feb 18, 2026
    10-K
    Annual report (2025-12-31)Period: 2025-12-310
    EDGAR →
  • Feb 18, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-02-18)Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)0
    EDGAR →
  • Sep 26, 2025
    DEF 14A
    Proxy statement (2025-11-06)0
    EDGAR →
Further reading · curated for this filing

If this case caught your eye

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Financial Shenanigans

Howard M. Schilit

Schilit's framework for the seven shenanigan types is the standard reference for the kind of MD&A pattern-matching this site does.

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The Interpretation of Financial Statements

Benjamin Graham

The original — and still the clearest — explanation of why working-capital trends matter more than headline earnings.

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Quality of Earnings

Thornton L. O'glove

Out of print, expensive, worth it. The chapter on receivables-vs-revenue divergence applies almost word-for-word to most distressed filings.

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