Super Micro Computer, Inc.
SMCI Technology · Computer HardwareFairly valued.
Sales surged while quarterly gross margin fell to 6.3%, from 11.8%.
The four readings.
What the filing actually says.
The filings show revenue growing quickly while profit has not kept pace, which is the central tension for a careful reader. For fiscal 2025 (ended June 30, 2025), revenue reached $21.97 billion, up 46.6% from $14.99 billion, yet net income fell to $1.05 billion from $1.15 billion, and operating income rose only modestly to $1.25 billion from $1.21 billion. The December 2025 quarter shows the same pattern at larger scale: net sales of $12.68 billion, but gross margin of 6.3% against 11.8% a year earlier. The six-month net income decline to $568.8 million from $744.9 million reinforces that earnings are lagging the top line. The forensic scores give a mixed picture. The Beneish M-Score is -2.157, which is below -1.78 and therefore not in the elevated manipulation-risk zone. This is a statistical screen built from several ratios, not a finding of wrongdoing, and a low reading does not rule out aggressive accounting. The Altman Z-Score here is the Z-double-prime variant, reported at 6.92, which falls in the safe zone; it measures financial strain, not future performance. The Piotroski F-Score is 6 of 8 computable signals, a count of simple profitability, leverage and efficiency tests. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.58 means fiscal 2025 operating cash flow of $1.66 billion exceeded net income. That follows a fiscal 2024 operating cash flow outflow of $2.49 billion, so the year-to-year swing deserves a closer read. The Fog Index is not on file for this analysis. Readers may want to look at the 10-Q notes on inventories and revenue recognition, the related-party purchases from Ablecom and Compuware (1.6% of cost of sales in the quarter, versus 2.7% a year earlier), and the full risk-factor section, which was only partially provided here.
Catalyst.Management ties growth to AI and datacenter demand, along with its Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS) offering, which integrates computing, storage, networking, rack, liquid cooling, management software and onsite deployment. For the three months ended December 31, 2025, net sales were $12.68 billion, up 123.4% from a year earlier, driven by shipments for customer datacenter deployments, including a large design win from one customer. Management said some of these orders were delayed from the prior quarter by customer configuration upgrades and data center readiness matters. Net income rose to $400.6 million from $320.6 million.
Hidden risk.Margin compression is the tension a casual reader could miss. Quarterly gross margin fell to 6.3% from 11.8%, which management attributes to competitive pricing aimed at gaining market share and a shift in product and customer mix. Six-month net income was $568.8 million, down from $744.9 million, even as sales grew. Total liabilities rose to $7.72 billion at June 30, 2025, from $4.41 billion a year earlier. Revenue also depends heavily on timing and on a large single-customer design win, and the filing says some orders slipped between quarters.
What traders are betting.
The metric
Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.
- Shares sold short
- 87.4M
- Change since Aug 31
- −6.5%
- Days to cover
- 2.4
What it tells us
A large group of traders is betting that SMCI shares will fall. That is a strong negative view, and also a crowd that would have to buy shares back if the price rises.
Little changed since the Aug 31 report (−6.5%).
At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 2.4 days to buy back every borrowed share.
How investors use it
- Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
- Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
- Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
- Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.
Annual reports, quarterly report & proxy statement
The annual reports (10-K), quarterly report (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) Super Micro Computer filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.
- Oct 15, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors0EDGAR →
- Oct 8, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directorsEDGAR →★ Curriculum-relevant
- Aug 31, 202610-KAnnual report0EDGAR →
- Aug 11, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Jul 21, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- May 5, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-05-05)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Apr 20, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-04-15)Item 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors; Item 5.07: Shareholder vote results0EDGAR →
- Mar 20, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-03-20)Item 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors0EDGAR →
- Mar 3, 2026DEF 14AProxy statement (2026-03-03)0EDGAR →
- Feb 6, 202610-QQuarterly report (2025-12-31)Period: 2025-12-310EDGAR →
- Aug 28, 202510-KAnnual report (2025-06-30)Period: 2025-06-300EDGAR →
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