Raymond James Financial, Inc.
RJF Financial Services · Asset ManagementFairly valued.
Raymond James grew revenue 6.6% in fiscal 2025 while buybacks draw down its authorization
The four readings.
What the filing actually says.
The forensic screens in the data point in a generally favorable direction, but they describe different things and should be read together. The Beneish M-Score is -2.447, which is below the -1.78 threshold and therefore not in the elevated manipulation-risk zone. That is a screening result only, not proof that the accounts are accurate. The Piotroski F-Score is 6 of 6 computable signals, meaning every signal that could be computed for fiscal 2025 was favorable; it is a checklist of financial strength and trend tests, not a measure of business quality. Operating cash flow divided by net income is 1.14, meaning fiscal 2025 cash generation exceeded reported profit, which is a useful check because reported earnings are backed by cash. Revenue growth was 6.6%. The Altman Z-Score and Fog Index are not on file for this review, so this summary does not rely on them. The balance sheet is large and heavily funded by liabilities: at fiscal year-end 2025, liabilities were $75.73 billion against $12.5 billion of equity, leaving equity at roughly 14% of $88.23 billion in assets. Because the company operates two FDIC-insured banks, the capital framework in the risk factors is central to reading its repurchase activity. The 10-Q states disclosure controls were concluded effective and that there were no changes in internal control over financial reporting, reports no legal proceedings, and says risk factors had no material changes since the 2025 10-K. Readers may want to look at the 10-K capital-rule discussion, Note 23, and the repurchase table in the 10-Q alongside the Fed guidance described in the risk factors.
Catalyst.Annual figures show revenues rising to $15.91 billion in fiscal 2025 from $14.92 billion in fiscal 2024, a 6.6% increase, and net income reaching $2.13 billion versus $2.07 billion. Operating cash flow was $2.43 billion, up from $2.15 billion. The 10-Q excerpt for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 contains no segment-level discussion of drivers, so this review cannot attribute growth to specific businesses. The filing does describe a Board authorization of up to $2 billion in share repurchases approved in December 2025, and it reports 5,146,629 shares acquired in the six months ended March 31, 2026, a total that also includes trust-fund and employee-surrender activity outside that authorization.
Hidden risk.The most easily missed tension is between capital return and bank capital rules. The 10-K says Basel III capital requirements could restrict growth and returning capital to shareholders. It also says the Fed would need prior approval for repurchases that reduce net worth by ten percent or more, and that Fed supervisors should prevent repurchases inconsistent with prospective capital needs. RJF must also serve as a source of financial strength for Raymond James Bank and TriState Capital Bank. Meanwhile the remaining authorization fell from $1,900 million at December 31, 2025 to $1,501 million at March 31, 2026. Cash flow has also been volatile, with operating cash flow of -$3.51 billion in fiscal 2023 and $72 million in fiscal 2022.
What traders are betting.
The metric
Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.
- Shares sold short
- 6.6M
- Change since Aug 31
- −16.2%
- Days to cover
- 4.9
What it tells us
Few traders are betting against RJF. Levels this low are common for large, widely held companies.
Short sellers closed some of their bets: shares sold short fell 16.2% since the Aug 31 report.
At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 4.9 days to buy back every borrowed share.
How investors use it
- Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
- Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
- Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
- Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.
Annual report, quarterly report & proxy statement
The annual report (10-K), quarterly report (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) Raymond James Financial filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.
- Sep 23, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)0EDGAR →
- Sep 1, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors; Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)EDGAR →★ Curriculum-relevant
- Aug 19, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)0EDGAR →
- Jul 22, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- May 6, 202610-QQuarterly report (2026-03-31)Period: 2026-03-310EDGAR →
- Apr 22, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-04-22)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Mar 25, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-03-25)Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)0EDGAR →
- Feb 23, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-02-19)Item 5.07: Shareholder vote results; Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)0EDGAR →
- Jan 7, 2026DEF 14AProxy statement (2026-02-19)0EDGAR →
- Nov 25, 202510-KAnnual report (2025-09-30)Period: 2025-09-300EDGAR →
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