QUALCOMM Incorporated
QCOM Technology · SemiconductorsDeep value.
Net income fell 45% in fiscal 2025 while operating income rose 23%; Apple in-sourcing looms.
The four readings.
What the filing actually says.
The forensic picture is mixed, and a casual reader should weigh each score carefully. The Altman Z″-Score is 5.94, which falls in the safe zone (2.60 or above) under the label's standard threshold. In plain terms, this is a financial-distress screen, and on this score the company does not appear close to distress. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.53 for fiscal 2025: operating cash flow of $14.01 billion was about two and a half times net income of $5.54 billion. This ratio is high partly because net income fell, so it shows that reported earnings were low relative to cash generation. It does not on its own prove earnings quality. The Beneish M-Score, Piotroski F-Score and Fog Index are not on file for this company, so this synthesis gives no values for them. The balance sheet shows several items worth tracking. Stockholders' equity rose from $21.21 billion at September 28, 2025 to $23.07 billion at December 28, 2025. Goodwill rose from $11.36 billion to $14.18 billion after the company issued $1.86 billion of common stock in an acquisition. Long-term debt was $14.82 billion at quarter end, nearly unchanged. Share repurchases were $2.65 billion in the quarter, up from $1.75 billion a year earlier. Restricted cash fell from $2.32 billion to zero. Customer incentives and other customer-related liabilities rose from $1.95 billion to $2.64 billion, which readers may want to look at alongside the revenue notes. Taken together, the filings show strong cash generation and a growing equity base, while revenue remains concentrated in premium-tier handsets, a few large customers and China.
Catalyst.Management's MD&A and risk-factor text point to premium-tier handset demand as the main engine. The company says a significant portion of its revenue comes from a small number of customers and licensees, particularly their premium-tier devices. In the 10-Q for the quarter ended December 28, 2025, total revenues were $12.25 billion, up from $11.67 billion a year earlier, with equipment and services revenue of $10.47 billion and licensing revenue of $1.79 billion. Fiscal 2025 revenue of $44.28 billion grew 13.7% from $38.96 billion. Management also says its growth depends on extending its technologies into areas beyond mobile handsets, and the company spent $1.09 billion on acquisitions and other investments in the quarter.
Hidden risk.The most material tension is between profit and operating results. For fiscal 2025, net income fell to $5.54 billion from $10.14 billion, a decline of about 45%, even though operating income rose to $12.36 billion from $10.07 billion. The filings provided do not explain that gap, so readers may want to look at the income statement and tax disclosures in the annual report. Separately, the risk factors say Apple will increasingly use its own modem products, which management expects to have a significant negative impact on QCT revenues, cash flows and results. The risk factors also flag a significant concentration of business in China amid U.S./China trade and national security tensions.
What traders are betting.
The metric
Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.
- Shares sold short
- 35.3M
- Change since Aug 31
- +4.8%
- Days to cover
- 2.5
What it tells us
Few traders are betting against QCOM. Levels this low are common for large, widely held companies.
Little changed since the Aug 31 report (+4.8%).
At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 2.5 days to buy back every borrowed share.
How investors use it
- Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
- Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
- Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
- Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.
Annual report, quarterly reports & proxy statement
The annual report (10-K), quarterly reports (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) QUALCOMM filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.
- Sep 8, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 3.02: Unregistered sale of shares0EDGAR →
- Jul 31, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
- Jul 29, 202610-QQuarterly report0EDGAR →
- Feb 4, 202610-QQuarterly report (2025-12-28)Period: 2025-12-280EDGAR →
- Feb 4, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-02-04)No specific items found in 8-K.0EDGAR →
- Jan 22, 2026DEF 14AProxy statement (2026-03-17)0EDGAR →
- Jan 16, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-01-13)No specific items found in 8-K.0EDGAR →
- Dec 16, 20258-KCurrent report (2025-12-10)No specific items found in 8-K.0EDGAR →
- Nov 5, 202510-KAnnual report (2025-09-28)Period: 2025-09-280EDGAR →
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