Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated
PEG Utilities · Utilities - Regulated ElectricFairly valued.
PSEG's earnings rebounded in 2025 and Q1 2026, while debt and nuclear exposure keep rising.
The four readings.
What the filing actually says.
The reported numbers show a company whose earnings have recovered from a difficult stretch. Net income was a loss of $648 million in 2021, then $1.03 billion in 2022, $2.56 billion in 2023, $1.77 billion in 2024 and $2.11 billion in 2025. Operating cash flow was $3.3 billion in 2025, about 1.56 times net income, so reported profit is supported by cash. Assets grew to $57.58 billion and equity to $16.98 billion, while long-term debt grew faster than equity since 2021, from $15.22 billion to $21.67 billion, so leverage is rising. The forensic scores read as follows. The Beneish M-Score is -2.422, which is below the -1.78 threshold and not in the elevated manipulation-risk zone. This is a screening result and does not prove the figures are accurate, but it does not flag the earnings for a closer read on that test. The Altman Z-double-prime score is 1.42, which falls in the grey zone between 1.10 and 2.60, meaning the model neither clearly signals distress nor clearly signals safety. For a capital-intensive utility carrying heavy debt, that is a reason to read the balance sheet directly. The Piotroski F-Score is 6 of 7 computable signals, meaning six of the seven signals that could be computed passed. That is a favorable profile on the tests that could be evaluated. Two items deserve attention. The 10-K risk factors name the Peach Bottom plants and New Jersey nuclear units, whose economics depend on wholesale markets and production tax credits, so part of the business carries exposure outside PSE&G's regulated rate base. In the first quarter of 2026, income tax expense rose to $107 million from $28 million, so net income grew 26% while operating income grew 35%. Readers may want to look at the next 10-Q for updates on regulatory approval of PSE&G's investment program and on commercial paper levels.
Catalyst.The 10-Q excerpt provided contains the table of contents, forward-looking statement language and the first-quarter financial statements, but not the MD&A results narrative, so the drivers below come from reported figures and the Item 1 business description. Revenue for 2025 was $12.17 billion, up 18.2% from $10.29 billion in 2024, and net income rose to $2.11 billion from $1.77 billion. In the first quarter of 2026, operating revenues reached $3,848 million versus $3,222 million a year earlier, and operating income rose to $1,075 million from $797 million. The business described in Item 1 centers on PSE&G's regulated transmission and distribution investments, plus regulated solar, energy efficiency and EV charging programs.
Hidden risk.The most material tension is the balance-sheet load behind the earnings growth. Long-term debt rose to $21.67 billion at year-end 2025 from $18.96 billion in 2024, and first-quarter 2026 interest expense was $272 million versus $241 million a year earlier. Commercial paper and loans stood at $1,165 million on March 31, 2026. The 10-K risk factors also flag that PSEG's ability to receive sufficient financial support for its New Jersey nuclear plants depends on market prices and production tax credits, that PSE&G's proposed investments may not be fully approved or may come in lower than planned, and that debt covenants could limit the business. Readers may want to look at how much of the earnings growth depends on those regulatory and nuclear outcomes.
What traders are betting.
The metric
Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.
- Shares sold short
- 12.7M
- Change since Aug 31
- +22.2%
- Days to cover
- 3.5
What it tells us
Few traders are betting against PEG. Levels this low are common for large, widely held companies.
Short sellers added to their bets: shares sold short grew 22.2% since the Aug 31 report.
At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 3.5 days to buy back every borrowed share.
How investors use it
- Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
- Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
- Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
- Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.
Annual report, quarterly reports & proxy statement
The annual report (10-K), quarterly reports (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) Public Service Enterprise Group filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.
- Aug 4, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 2.02: Results of operations (earnings); Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)0EDGAR →
- Aug 4, 202610-QQuarterly report0EDGAR →
- May 5, 202610-QQuarterly report (2026-03-31)Period: 2026-03-310EDGAR →
- May 5, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-05-05)Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials); Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Apr 23, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-04-21)Item 5.07: Shareholder vote results0EDGAR →
- Mar 12, 2026DEF 14AProxy statement (2026-04-21)0EDGAR →
- Feb 26, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-02-26)Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials); Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Feb 26, 202610-KAnnual report (2025-12-31)Period: 2025-12-310EDGAR →
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