Otis Worldwide Corporation

OTIS Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Delayed 15 min
Last close
$70.40
Oct 16, 2026
52-week range
$63.58 — $94.57
-26% from high
Market cap
26.8B
Diluted basis
Dividend yield
2.5%
P/E
18.1
Trailing
Filing.fyi verdict · Oct 16, 2026

Fairly valued.

Otis revenue edged up 1.2% while net income fell and equity stayed negative.

Neutral Beneish: -2.42Altman Z″: 0.14Piotroski: 5/9Fog: 15.0
RED DEEP 62 / 100
Composite Health
Forensic readings · derived from the latest filing

The four readings.

Each score answers a different question. The composite at the top is the average; the disagreement below is the story.
Beneish M Earnings manipulation
-2.42
Clean
−3.0 threshold −1.78 +1.0
Altman Z″ Bankruptcy proximity
0.14
Distress zone
0 threshold 1.10 / 2.60 4.0
Piotroski F Fundamental health (0–9)
5
Mixed
0 threshold 6+ 9
Fog Index MD&A readability
14.98
Dense
8 threshold ≥ 18 = murky 24
AI synthesis · written from this company's SEC filings · not investment advice

What the filing actually says.

AI · forensic preset

Taken together, the numbers show a company with modest top-line growth, a large buyback program, and a balance sheet that depends heavily on debt and negative equity. Revenue growth of 1.2% is modest, and the gap between operating income, which rose about 6%, and net income, which fell about 16%, is the item most worth tracing in the full 10-K, since the excerpt provided does not explain it. Operating cash flow of $1.6 billion against net income of $1.38 billion gives the 1.15 ratio shown in the data, which suggests reported earnings were backed by cash in 2025, though one year of data cannot establish a trend. The four forensic scores should be read separately. The Beneish M-Score is -2.425, and its label places it outside the elevated manipulation-risk zone, meaning this earnings-manipulation screen did not flag the filing; that is a screen, not an audit. The Altman Z″-Score is 0.14, which its label places in the distress zone. That reading reflects the company's negative equity and heavy liabilities, and it signals balance-sheet strain rather than a prediction of default. The Piotroski F-Score is 5 of 8 computable signals, meaning five of the eight signals that could be computed passed. The Fog Index of 14.98 falls in the hard-to-read band, and the MD&A excerpt provided is largely non-narrative, so the score reflects limited text. Readers may want to look at the full 10-K MD&A for segment results by product line, the debt maturity schedule within the $6.9 billion of long-term debt, and the reconciliation between operating income and net income. The 10-Q excerpt states there are no material changes to risk factors from the 2025 Form 10-K.

Catalyst.Per the 2025 annual figures, Otis reported revenue of $14.43 billion, up 1.2% from $14.26 billion in 2024, and operating income of $2.13 billion versus $2.01 billion, a rise of about 6%. The Q1 2026 10-Q MD&A excerpt provided is mostly a share repurchase table and exhibit list rather than operating commentary, so the operating drivers cannot be confirmed from this text. The filing does show the company repurchased 4.519 million shares in the first quarter of 2026 at an average price of $88.53, leaving approximately $900 million under a $2.0 billion program approved January 16, 2025. Management also filed new offer letters and employment contracts for senior executives dated January 2026.

Hidden risk.Net income fell from $1.65 billion in 2024 to $1.38 billion in 2025, a decline of about 16%, even as operating income rose. Equity is negative at $5.39 billion at December 31, 2025, and liabilities of $15.92 billion exceed assets of $10.65 billion. Long-term debt is $6.9 billion. Risk factors note that about 71% of 2025 net sales came from international operations, with exposure to currency translation, tariffs, and China-related trade policy, and that a slowdown in building and remodeling could hurt results. A casual reader might focus on the operating income increase and miss the gap between operating income and net income.

Market signals · from trading data, not filings

What traders are betting.

The scores above come from what OTIS reports to the SEC. These readings come from how traders are positioned in its shares. They change quickly, they can be wrong, and they are not part of the verdict.
Short interest Shares sold short · reported twice a month
5.2%
of the shares available to trade
Moderate
0%5% · 10% · 20%25%+

The metric

Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.

Shares sold short
17.1M
Change since Aug 31
+13.2%
Days to cover
3.6

What it tells us

A noticeable minority of traders is betting that OTIS shares will fall.

Short sellers added to their bets: shares sold short grew 13.2% since the Aug 31 report.

At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 3.6 days to buy back every borrowed share.

How investors use it

  • Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
  • Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
  • Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
  • Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.

Lesson: short interest, explained →

Short-interest report for Sep 30, 2026, via Yahoo Finance. Reports come out about a week and a half after that date.

SEC filings · last 12 months

Annual report, quarterly reports & proxy statement

The annual report (10-K), quarterly reports (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) Otis Worldwide filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.

  • Sep 15, 2026
    8-K
    Current reportItem 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors; Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)
    ★ Curriculum-relevant
    EDGAR →
  • Jul 23, 2026
    10-Q
    Quarterly report0
    EDGAR →
  • Jul 22, 2026
    8-K
    Current reportItem 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0
    EDGAR →
  • May 7, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-05-04)No specific items found in 8-K.0
    EDGAR →
  • Apr 23, 2026
    10-Q
    Quarterly report (2026-03-31)Period: 2026-03-310
    EDGAR →
  • Apr 22, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-04-22)No specific items found in 8-K.0
    EDGAR →
  • Apr 17, 2026
    DEF 14A
    Proxy statement (2026-05-27)0
    EDGAR →
  • Feb 5, 2026
    10-K
    Annual report (2025-12-31)Period: 2025-12-310
    EDGAR →
  • Jan 28, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-01-28)No specific items found in 8-K.0
    EDGAR →
Further reading · curated for this filing

If this case caught your eye

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Financial Shenanigans

Howard M. Schilit

Schilit's framework for the seven shenanigan types is the standard reference for the kind of MD&A pattern-matching this site does.

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The Interpretation of Financial Statements

Benjamin Graham

The original — and still the clearest — explanation of why working-capital trends matter more than headline earnings.

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Quality of Earnings

Thornton L. O'glove

Out of print, expensive, worth it. The chapter on receivables-vs-revenue divergence applies almost word-for-word to most distressed filings.

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