ON Semiconductor Corporation
ON Technology · SemiconductorsDeep value.
Revenue fell 15.3% in 2025 while cash flow stayed positive and buybacks continued.
The four readings.
What the filing actually says.
The annual figures show a sharp downturn in profitability, not just in sales. Revenue declined 15.3% to $6 billion in 2025, while net income fell to $121 million from $1.57 billion and operating income fell to $84.2 million from $1.77 billion. Total assets dropped to $12.52 billion from $14.09 billion, equity fell to $7.67 billion from $8.8 billion, and long-term debt declined to $2.98 billion from $3.35 billion. The filings provided do not name the segments, products or legal matters behind these changes, so readers may want to look at the full 10-K business and MD&A sections. Four scores are provided. The Beneish M-Score is -2.975, which is below -1.78 and therefore not in the elevated manipulation-risk zone; this is a screening result, not a finding about the company's books. The Altman Z″-Score is 6.23, in the safe zone, which indicates low financial distress risk on that model. The Piotroski F-Score is 4 of 9 computable signals, a middling reading across nine checks of profitability, leverage and efficiency. The Fog Index is 15.93, placing the MD&A in the hard-to-read band of 14 to 18, which means a reader needs more effort than average to follow the discussion. The repurchase activity, 5,709,322 shares in the quarter ended April 3, 2026, under a $6.0 billion program, is a capital-allocation choice that continued while earnings contracted. No news headlines are on file, and the risk factor and MD&A excerpts are largely boilerplate, so this verdict rests mainly on the financial statements and scores.
Catalyst.The MD&A excerpt for the 10-Q filed 2026-05-04 does not describe business drivers in detail. Its substantive content is forward-looking-statement cautions, the share repurchase table and the program description. The annual figures show revenue falling from $7.08 billion in 2024 to $6 billion in 2025, a decline of 15.3%, and operating income dropping to $84.2 million from $1.77 billion. In the quarter ended April 3, 2026, the company repurchased 5,709,322 shares under the New Share Repurchase Program approved in November 2025, which allows up to $6.0 billion of repurchases through December 31, 2028, with approximately $5.7 billion remaining. Readers may want to look at the full MD&A for the operating drivers behind the revenue decline, which the excerpt does not supply.
Hidden risk.The most easily missed tension is between cash flow and earnings. Net income fell to $121 million in 2025 from $1.57 billion in 2024, a drop of about 92%, yet operating cash flow was $1.76 billion. That makes the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 14.54 look strong, but the ratio is high mainly because the net income denominator shrank sharply, not because cash rose. Operating cash flow also declined from $1.91 billion. The Fog Index of 15.93 falls in the hard-to-read band, and the risk factor excerpt provided contains only forward-looking-statement language, so specific risks cannot be assessed from it.
What traders are betting.
The metric
Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.
- Shares sold short
- 30M
- Change since Aug 31
- −0.7%
- Days to cover
- 2.7
What it tells us
A large group of traders is betting that ON shares will fall. That is a strong negative view, and also a crowd that would have to buy shares back if the price rises.
Little changed since the Aug 31 report (−0.7%).
At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 2.7 days to buy back every borrowed share.
How investors use it
- Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
- Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
- Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
- Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.
Annual report, quarterly reports & proxy statement
The annual report (10-K), quarterly reports (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) ON Semiconductor filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.
- Oct 1, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 1.01: Signed a material agreement; Item 8.01: Other eventsEDGAR →★ Curriculum-relevant
- Aug 13, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
- Aug 3, 202610-QQuarterly report0EDGAR →
- Aug 3, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- May 7, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-05-06)No specific items found in 8-K.0EDGAR →
- May 6, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-05-06)No specific items found in 8-K.0EDGAR →
- May 4, 202610-QQuarterly report (2026-04-03)Period: 2026-04-030EDGAR →
- May 4, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-05-04)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Apr 2, 2026DEF 14AProxy statement (2026-05-14)0EDGAR →
- Feb 9, 202610-KAnnual report (2025-12-31)Period: 2025-12-310EDGAR →
If this case caught your eye
Financial Shenanigans
Schilit's framework for the seven shenanigan types is the standard reference for the kind of MD&A pattern-matching this site does.
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