Netflix, Inc.
NFLX Communication Services · EntertainmentDeep value.
Netflix revenue grew 16% to $45.18 billion, but content and Brazil tax costs bear watching.
The four readings.
What the filing actually says.
The forensic screens point in a broadly consistent direction with the reported numbers, though they are screening tools rather than conclusions. The Beneish M-Score for 2025-FY is -2.238, which is below the -1.78 threshold and therefore not in the elevated manipulation-risk zone. That is a statistical screen built from relationships among receivables, margins, asset mix, sales growth and accruals; it does not establish that the reported figures are accurate or inaccurate, and it does not replace reading the notes. The Altman Z″-Score is 5.29, in the safe zone at 2.60 or above, which means the model's measure of financial distress risk is low; it is a model output, not a forecast of future results. Operating cash flow divided by net income was 0.92 for 2025, meaning $0.92 of operating cash came in for each $1 of reported net income. That is up from about 0.84 in 2024 (calculated from $7.36 billion and $8.71 billion), but still below one, which fits the heavy content spending visible in the cash flow statement. Revenue growth of 15.8% is the most direct business signal in the data, and it is spread across all four regions, though the 10-K notes that foreign exchange and hedging reduced reported growth in 2025. Because membership counts are no longer reported, revenue and operating margin are now the main lenses for judging the business. Readers may want to look at Note 9 on commitments and contingencies, including the Brazil non-income tax matters, and Note 8 on derivatives and hedging, in the full 10-K.
Catalyst.According to the 2025 10-K MD&A, revenue rose 16% to $45.18 billion from $39 billion in 2024. Management attributes the growth mainly to membership growth, price increases and higher advertising revenue, partly offset by unfavorable foreign exchange net of hedging; on a constant-currency basis, growth was 17%. Growth was broad across regions: Asia-Pacific streaming revenue rose 21% to $5.35 billion, EMEA rose 17% to $14.51 billion, UCAN rose 15% to $19.96 billion, and LATAM rose 11% to $5.36 billion. Operating income increased 28% to $13.33 billion, lifting operating margin to 29.5% from 26.7%, and net income reached $10.98 billion, up 26%.
Hidden risk.The MD&A says Netflix discontinued reporting membership numbers during 2025, so readers now have revenue and operating margin rather than subscriber counts to judge growth. Cost of revenues rose $2.24 billion to $23.28 billion, including a $1.12 billion increase in content amortization and a $1.12 billion increase in other cost of revenues, primarily driven by non-income tax assessments in Brazil. The filing says it does not expect those Brazil taxes to materially affect future results, but the matters are discussed in Note 9. In the nine months ended September 30, 2025, additions to content assets were $12.04 billion, compared with $11.66 billion of content amortization recognized in the same period.
What traders are betting.
The metric
Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.
- Shares sold short
- 82.2M
- Change since Aug 31
- −10.1%
- Days to cover
- 2.5
What it tells us
Few traders are betting against NFLX. Levels this low are common for large, widely held companies.
Short sellers closed some of their bets: shares sold short fell 10.1% since the Aug 31 report.
At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 2.5 days to buy back every borrowed share.
How investors use it
- Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
- Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
- Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
- Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.
Annual report, quarterly reports & proxy statement
The annual report (10-K), quarterly reports (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) Netflix filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.
- Jul 22, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
- Jul 17, 202610-QQuarterly report0EDGAR →
- Jul 16, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Jan 23, 202610-KAnnual report (2025-12-31)Period: 2025-12-310EDGAR →
- Jan 20, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-01-20)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Jan 20, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-01-19)Item 1.01: Signed a material agreement; Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)0EDGAR →
- Dec 22, 20258-KCurrent report (2025-12-19)Item 1.01: Signed a material agreement; Item 2.03: New debt or other financial obligation0EDGAR →
- Oct 22, 202510-QQuarterly report (2025-09-30)Period: 2025-09-300EDGAR →
- Apr 17, 2025DEF 14AProxy statement (2025-06-05)0EDGAR →
If this case caught your eye
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