Linde plc
LIN Basic Materials · Specialty ChemicalsFairly valued.
Linde's earnings rise on pricing, but goodwill and rising debt warrant closer reading.
The four readings.
What the filing actually says.
The filings describe a large, stable industrial gases business with growth driven mainly by pricing rather than volume. The MD&A names the Americas, EMEA, and APAC segments as producing about 90% of 2025 sales, with Engineering and Other making up the rest, and it describes long-term contracts that allow energy and feedstock cost changes to be passed through to customers. The Beneish M-Score is -2.684, which is below the -1.78 threshold and therefore not in the elevated manipulation-risk zone. That is a screening result: it suggests the reported figures do not show the typical pattern the model flags, but it is not proof that the figures are accurate. The Altman Z-Score for 2024 is 2.09, which falls in the grey zone, meaning it sits between the distress and safe ranges and calls for judgment rather than a clear conclusion. Operating cash flow was 1.44 times net income for 2024 on the computed ratio, which is a supportive sign for earnings quality. The main thing a careful reader may want to look at is the gap between strong operating cash flow and the company's reliance on borrowing to fund shareholder payouts and acquisitions. Readers may also want to review the goodwill impairment discussion and the merger-related purchase accounting adjustments in the notes. No Piotroski F-Score or Fog Index is on file for this review, so those measures are not discussed here.
Catalyst.According to the 2025 MD&A, sales rose 3% to $33,986 million from $33,005 million. About 2 points came from higher price attainment, 1 point from acquisitions, and volumes were flat as new project start-ups offset base volume declines. Reported operating profit increased 3% to $8,923 million, which management credits to higher pricing and productivity savings outpacing cost inflation. Cash flow from operations reached $10,350 million, $927 million above 2024, mainly from higher net income and lower working capital needs. Merger-related purchase accounting reduced 2025 other income by $164 million.
Hidden risk.The balance sheet carries large acquisition-era intangibles. The risk factors state that goodwill was about $28 billion and indefinite-lived intangibles about $2 billion at December 31, 2025, mostly from the 2018 merger, and that impairments could materially affect results. Against 2024 total assets of $80.15 billion and equity of $38.09 billion, that is a large share of the asset base. Long-term debt also rose from $13.4 billion in 2023 to $15.34 billion in 2024, and 2025 net debt borrowings of $2,911 million helped fund $4,578 million of share purchases and $2,811 million of dividends.
What traders are betting.
The metric
Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.
- Shares sold short
- 6M
- Change since Aug 31
- +11.0%
- Days to cover
- 3.0
What it tells us
Few traders are betting against LIN. Levels this low are common for large, widely held companies.
Short sellers added to their bets: shares sold short grew 11.0% since the Aug 31 report.
At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 3.0 days to buy back every borrowed share.
How investors use it
- Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
- Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
- Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
- Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.
Annual reports, quarterly reports & proxy statement
The annual reports (10-K), quarterly reports (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) Linde filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.
- Jul 31, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Jul 31, 202610-QQuarterly report0EDGAR →
- Jul 30, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 5.07: Shareholder vote results0EDGAR →
- Feb 25, 202610-KAnnual report (2025-12-31)Period: 2025-12-310EDGAR →
- Feb 5, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-02-05)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Dec 3, 20258-KCurrent report (2025-12-03)No specific items found in 8-K.0EDGAR →
- Nov 20, 20258-KCurrent report (2025-11-20)No specific items found in 8-K.0EDGAR →
- Oct 31, 202510-QQuarterly report (2025-09-30)Period: 2025-09-300EDGAR →
- Apr 30, 2025DEF 14AProxy statement (2025-07-29)0EDGAR →
- Feb 26, 202510-KAnnual report (2024-12-31)Period: 2024-12-310EDGAR →
If this case caught your eye
Financial Shenanigans
Schilit's framework for the seven shenanigan types is the standard reference for the kind of MD&A pattern-matching this site does.
View on Amazon →The Interpretation of Financial Statements
The original — and still the clearest — explanation of why working-capital trends matter more than headline earnings.
View on Amazon →Quality of Earnings
Out of print, expensive, worth it. The chapter on receivables-vs-revenue divergence applies almost word-for-word to most distressed filings.
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