Intuitive Surgical, Inc.

ISRG Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies
Delayed 15 min
Last close
$427.86
Oct 16, 2026
52-week range
$328.57 — $603.88
-29% from high
Market cap
151.2B
Diluted basis
Dividend yield
—
No dividend declared
P/E
49.1
Trailing
Filing.fyi verdict · Oct 16, 2026

Deep value.

Revenue rose 20.5% to $10.06 billion, with cash flow tracking earnings closely.

Bullish Beneish: -2.51Altman Z″: 12.01
RED DEEP 100 / 100
Composite Health
Forensic readings · derived from the latest filing

The four readings.

Each score answers a different question. The composite at the top is the average; the disagreement below is the story.
Beneish M Earnings manipulation
-2.51
Clean
−3.0 threshold −1.78 +1.0
Altman Z″ Bankruptcy proximity
12.01
Safe
0 threshold 1.10 / 2.60 4.0
AI synthesis · written from this company's SEC filings · not investment advice

What the filing actually says.

AI · forensic preset

The filings tell a mostly consistent story of growth. Net income attributable to Intuitive Surgical reached $2.86 billion in 2025 against $2.32 billion in 2024, and operating cash flow of $3.03 billion produced an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.06, meaning cash generation roughly matched reported earnings. The Beneish M-Score of -2.514 is below the -1.78 threshold and is not in the elevated manipulation-risk zone. This is a screening result rather than proof that the numbers are accurate, but it does not raise a flag on the 2025 figures. The Altman Z-double-prime score of 12.01 is in the safe zone, meaning the model sees low distress risk from the balance sheet, with total assets of $20.46 billion against liabilities of $2.52 billion at year end 2025. The model is a statistical estimate and does not describe near-term liquidity. Management's narrative centers on the installed base of da Vinci and Ion systems, the Quintuple Aim, and an expanding clinical sales team. The MD&A notes that capital sales have lengthy cycles affected by hospital budgeting. The share repurchase of $2,094.3 million in the first nine months of 2025 and the drop in property, plant, and equipment purchases to $377.3 million from $799.2 million are facts a reader can weigh against the inventory build. Readers may want to look at the next 10-K for the inventory trend, the joint venture with Fosun Pharma, and the competitor product launches named in the competition section.

Catalyst.According to the 2025 10-K MD&A, the business is driven by da Vinci surgical systems and Ion endoluminal systems, with 2025 revenue split 68% domestic and 32% outside the U.S. Total revenue reached $10.06 billion in 2025, up from $8.35 billion in 2024, a 20.5% increase, and operating income rose to $2.95 billion from $2.35 billion. Management describes recurring instrument, accessory, and service revenue alongside system placements. The nine-month 10-Q shows product revenue of $6,048.4 million and service revenue of $1,150.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared with $4,978.9 million and $959.7 million a year earlier.

Hidden risk.The 10-Q balance sheet shows inventory rising to $1,781.9 million at September 30, 2025, from $1,487.2 million at December 31, 2024, a 19.8% increase in nine months. Inventory purchases absorbed $810.4 million of operating cash in the nine-month cash flow statement. The 10-K competition section names Johnson & Johnson and Medtronic plc, expects increasing competition in China, and warns of possible pricing pressure. The filing also says some components come from sole-sourced or single-sourced suppliers and are bought through purchase orders rather than long-term supply agreements. Readers may want to look at whether inventory keeps pace with system placements.

Market signals · from trading data, not filings

What traders are betting.

The scores above come from what ISRG reports to the SEC. These readings come from how traders are positioned in its shares. They change quickly, they can be wrong, and they are not part of the verdict.
Short interest Shares sold short · reported twice a month
2.1%
of the shares available to trade
Low
0%5% · 10% · 20%25%+

The metric

Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.

Shares sold short
7.4M
Change since Aug 31
−4.1%
Days to cover
3.1

What it tells us

Few traders are betting against ISRG. Levels this low are common for large, widely held companies.

Little changed since the Aug 31 report (−4.1%).

At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 3.1 days to buy back every borrowed share.

How investors use it

  • Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
  • Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
  • Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
  • Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.

Lesson: short interest, explained →

Short-interest report for Sep 30, 2026, via Yahoo Finance. Reports come out about a week and a half after that date.

SEC filings · last 12 months

Annual report, quarterly reports & proxy statement

The annual report (10-K), quarterly reports (10-Q), proxy statements (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) Intuitive Surgical filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.

  • Jul 27, 2026
    8-K
    Current reportItem 5.03: Charter or bylaw change; fiscal-year change
    ★ Curriculum-relevant
    EDGAR →
  • Jul 21, 2026
    10-Q
    Quarterly report0
    EDGAR →
  • Jul 16, 2026
    8-K
    Current reportItem 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0
    EDGAR →
  • Mar 13, 2026
    DEF 14A
    Proxy statement (2025-12-31)0
    EDGAR →
  • Mar 2, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-03-01)No specific items found in 8-K.0
    EDGAR →
  • Feb 3, 2026
    10-K
    Annual report (2025-12-31)Period: 2025-12-310
    EDGAR →
  • Jan 22, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-01-22)No specific items found in 8-K.0
    EDGAR →
  • Jan 14, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-01-14)No specific items found in 8-K.0
    EDGAR →
  • Dec 18, 2025
    8-K
    Current report (2025-12-16)No specific items found in 8-K.0
    EDGAR →
  • Oct 22, 2025
    10-Q
    Quarterly report (2025-09-30)Period: 2025-09-300
    EDGAR →
  • Mar 14, 2025
    DEF 14A
    Proxy statement (2024-12-31)0
    EDGAR →
Further reading · curated for this filing

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Financial Shenanigans

Howard M. Schilit

Schilit's framework for the seven shenanigan types is the standard reference for the kind of MD&A pattern-matching this site does.

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The Interpretation of Financial Statements

Benjamin Graham

The original — and still the clearest — explanation of why working-capital trends matter more than headline earnings.

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Quality of Earnings

Thornton L. O'glove

Out of print, expensive, worth it. The chapter on receivables-vs-revenue divergence applies almost word-for-word to most distressed filings.

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