IonQ, Inc.
IONQ Technology · Computer HardwareWatch.
Revenue tripled in 2025 as losses deepened; elevated Beneish screen warrants closer reading
The four readings.
What the filing actually says.
The filings describe a company whose revenue has grown quickly from a small base while its losses, cash burn and balance sheet have grown faster. The fiscal 2025 net loss was -$510.38 million against revenue of $130.02 million, and operating cash flow was -$283.19 million, compared with -$105.68 million in 2024. The Beneish M-Score of -0.338 falls in the elevated manipulation-risk zone. This is a screening tool that compares ratios across periods, so an elevated reading calls for a closer look at items such as receivables, inventory and asset quality, not a finding of manipulation. The Altman Z-Score of 2.62 is in the safe zone, meaning the model does not signal distress, though that says little about whether the SkyWater business will be profitable. The Piotroski F-Score is 3 of 6 computable signals, meaning three of the six checks that could be computed were met. The Fog Index of 20.56 is above 18, which the label classes as very hard to read, so the MD&A demands careful reading. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.55 is computed from two negative figures, so it means the operating cash outflow was about 55% of the net loss, not positive cash generation. Liabilities rose to $2.76 billion from $124.53 million and equity rose to $3.8 billion from $383.86 million. The 10-Q's Item 4 states disclosure controls were effective as of June 30, 2026, and no changes in internal control over financial reporting were reported for that period. The market risk section reports no material changes since December 31, 2025, and the legal proceedings item is incorporated by reference from Note 12, which is not included in the excerpt. Readers may want to look at the SkyWater Acquisition risk factors, the Item 7 discussion in the 10-K, the Note 12 legal disclosures, and the financing sections of the cash flow statement to understand the source of the equity growth.
Catalyst.According to the fiscal 2025 annual figures, revenue rose to $130.02 million from $43.07 million in 2024, a 201.8% year-over-year increase. The 10-Q MD&A excerpt provided is largely procedural and does not discuss results in detail, so the forward-looking driver is described mainly through the pending SkyWater Acquisition. The risk factors say this would bring IonQ into semiconductor foundry operations at facilities in Bloomington, Minnesota, Kissimmee, Florida and Austin, Texas. Recent news headlines reference a RoNaQCI quantum infrastructure deployment and an ARLIS security framework collaboration, both dated March 12, 2026, but the excerpt does not link them to reported results.
Hidden risk.The balance sheet expanded sharply while the operating loss widened. Operating loss was -$633.72 million in 2025 versus -$232.46 million in 2024, and total assets rose to $6.57 billion from $508.39 million, about 12.9 times. The Beneish M-Score of -0.338 sits in the elevated manipulation-risk zone, which is a screening flag calling for a closer read, not proof of manipulation. Risk factors add that SkyWater customers may not give firm long-term purchase commitments, and that minor process deviations can sharply reduce foundry yields, so the new business may carry operating risks IonQ has not run before.
What traders are betting.
The metric
Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.
- Shares sold short
- 40.6M
- Change since Aug 31
- −1.0%
- Days to cover
- 1.7
What it tells us
A large group of traders is betting that IONQ shares will fall. That is a strong negative view, and also a crowd that would have to buy shares back if the price rises.
Little changed since the Aug 31 report (−1.0%).
At normal trading volume, short sellers could buy back every borrowed share in under two days.
How investors use it
- Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
- Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
- Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
- Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.
Quarterly report & proxy statement
The quarterly report (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) IonQ filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.
- Oct 13, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-10-09)Item 1.01: Signed a material agreement; Item 3.02: Unregistered sale of shares; Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)EDGAR →★ Curriculum-relevant
- Sep 8, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-09-08)Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)0EDGAR →
- Aug 28, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-08-24)Item 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors; Item 8.01: Other eventsEDGAR →★ Curriculum-relevant
- Aug 10, 202610-QQuarterly report (2026-06-30)Period: 2026-06-300EDGAR →
- Aug 7, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 3.02: Unregistered sale of shares0EDGAR →
- Jul 31, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
- Jul 28, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
- Apr 30, 2026DEF 14AProxy statement (2026-04-30)0EDGAR →
- Apr 24, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-04-24)Item 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
- Mar 25, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-03-19)Item 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors0EDGAR →
- Mar 11, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-03-10)Item 3.02: Unregistered sale of shares0EDGAR →
- Feb 27, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-02-27)Item 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
What the desk read this week
- U.S. launches bipartisan quantum technology commission, IonQ asserts - Traders Union
- IonQ (IONQ) Deploys Complex Operational Quantum Infrastructure for RoNaQCI
- IonQ (IONQ) Deploys Complex Operational Quantum Infrastructure for RoNaQCI - Yahoo Finance UK
- Rigetti's Q4 Operating Loss Persists Amid Tech Progress: Buy or Hold?
- IonQ, ARLIS team up over quantum computing security framework - MSN
- Stocks making big moves yesterday: Saia, Oracle, Atlas Energy Solutions, IonQ, and Conagra
- Stocks making big moves yesterday: Saia, Oracle, Atlas Energy Solutions, IonQ, and Conagra - Yahoo Finance
- IonQ Discloses Cambridge Collaboration Shares and Insider Sale in New SEC Filings - TipRanks
- IonQ Advances Quantum Security With NIST Standards-Based Framework - Quantum Zeitgeist
- IonQ partners with the University of Cambridge for 256-qubit quantum computer - Data Center Dynamics
If this case caught your eye
Financial Shenanigans
Schilit's framework for the seven shenanigan types is the standard reference for the kind of MD&A pattern-matching this site does.
View on Amazon →The Interpretation of Financial Statements
The original — and still the clearest — explanation of why working-capital trends matter more than headline earnings.
View on Amazon →Quality of Earnings
Out of print, expensive, worth it. The chapter on receivables-vs-revenue divergence applies almost word-for-word to most distressed filings.
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