IonQ, Inc.

IONQ Technology · Computer Hardware
Delayed 15 min
Last close
$34.35
Oct 16, 2026
52-week range
$25.89 — $73.65
-53% from high
Market cap
13.9B
Diluted basis
Dividend yield
—
No dividend declared
P/E
—
Trailing
Filing.fyi verdict · Oct 16, 2026

Watch.

Revenue tripled in 2025 as losses deepened; elevated Beneish screen warrants closer reading

Caution Beneish: -0.34Altman Z″: 2.62Piotroski: 3/9Fog: 20.6
RED DEEP 45 / 100
Composite Health
Forensic readings · derived from the latest filing

The four readings.

Each score answers a different question. The composite at the top is the average; the disagreement below is the story.
Beneish M Earnings manipulation
-0.34
High manipulation likelihood
−3.0 threshold −1.78 +1.0
Altman Z″ Bankruptcy proximity
2.62
Safe
0 threshold 1.10 / 2.60 4.0
Piotroski F Fundamental health (0–9)
3
Weak fundamentals
0 threshold 6+ 9
Fog Index MD&A readability
20.56
Obfuscatory prose
8 threshold ≥ 18 = murky 24
AI synthesis · written from this company's SEC filings · not investment advice

What the filing actually says.

AI · forensic preset

The filings describe a company whose revenue has grown quickly from a small base while its losses, cash burn and balance sheet have grown faster. The fiscal 2025 net loss was -$510.38 million against revenue of $130.02 million, and operating cash flow was -$283.19 million, compared with -$105.68 million in 2024. The Beneish M-Score of -0.338 falls in the elevated manipulation-risk zone. This is a screening tool that compares ratios across periods, so an elevated reading calls for a closer look at items such as receivables, inventory and asset quality, not a finding of manipulation. The Altman Z-Score of 2.62 is in the safe zone, meaning the model does not signal distress, though that says little about whether the SkyWater business will be profitable. The Piotroski F-Score is 3 of 6 computable signals, meaning three of the six checks that could be computed were met. The Fog Index of 20.56 is above 18, which the label classes as very hard to read, so the MD&A demands careful reading. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.55 is computed from two negative figures, so it means the operating cash outflow was about 55% of the net loss, not positive cash generation. Liabilities rose to $2.76 billion from $124.53 million and equity rose to $3.8 billion from $383.86 million. The 10-Q's Item 4 states disclosure controls were effective as of June 30, 2026, and no changes in internal control over financial reporting were reported for that period. The market risk section reports no material changes since December 31, 2025, and the legal proceedings item is incorporated by reference from Note 12, which is not included in the excerpt. Readers may want to look at the SkyWater Acquisition risk factors, the Item 7 discussion in the 10-K, the Note 12 legal disclosures, and the financing sections of the cash flow statement to understand the source of the equity growth.

Catalyst.According to the fiscal 2025 annual figures, revenue rose to $130.02 million from $43.07 million in 2024, a 201.8% year-over-year increase. The 10-Q MD&A excerpt provided is largely procedural and does not discuss results in detail, so the forward-looking driver is described mainly through the pending SkyWater Acquisition. The risk factors say this would bring IonQ into semiconductor foundry operations at facilities in Bloomington, Minnesota, Kissimmee, Florida and Austin, Texas. Recent news headlines reference a RoNaQCI quantum infrastructure deployment and an ARLIS security framework collaboration, both dated March 12, 2026, but the excerpt does not link them to reported results.

Hidden risk.The balance sheet expanded sharply while the operating loss widened. Operating loss was -$633.72 million in 2025 versus -$232.46 million in 2024, and total assets rose to $6.57 billion from $508.39 million, about 12.9 times. The Beneish M-Score of -0.338 sits in the elevated manipulation-risk zone, which is a screening flag calling for a closer read, not proof of manipulation. Risk factors add that SkyWater customers may not give firm long-term purchase commitments, and that minor process deviations can sharply reduce foundry yields, so the new business may carry operating risks IonQ has not run before.

Market signals · from trading data, not filings

What traders are betting.

The scores above come from what IONQ reports to the SEC. These readings come from how traders are positioned in its shares. They change quickly, they can be wrong, and they are not part of the verdict.
Short interest Shares sold short · reported twice a month
10.1%
of the shares available to trade
High
0%5% · 10% · 20%25%+

The metric

Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.

Shares sold short
40.6M
Change since Aug 31
−1.0%
Days to cover
1.7

What it tells us

A large group of traders is betting that IONQ shares will fall. That is a strong negative view, and also a crowd that would have to buy shares back if the price rises.

Little changed since the Aug 31 report (−1.0%).

At normal trading volume, short sellers could buy back every borrowed share in under two days.

How investors use it

  • Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
  • Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
  • Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
  • Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.

Lesson: short interest, explained →

Short-interest report for Sep 30, 2026, via Yahoo Finance. Reports come out about a week and a half after that date.

SEC filings · last 12 months

Quarterly report & proxy statement

The quarterly report (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) IonQ filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.

  • Oct 13, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-10-09)Item 1.01: Signed a material agreement; Item 3.02: Unregistered sale of shares; Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)
    ★ Curriculum-relevant
    EDGAR →
  • Sep 8, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-09-08)Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)0
    EDGAR →
  • Aug 28, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-08-24)Item 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors; Item 8.01: Other events
    ★ Curriculum-relevant
    EDGAR →
  • Aug 10, 2026
    10-Q
    Quarterly report (2026-06-30)Period: 2026-06-300
    EDGAR →
  • Aug 7, 2026
    8-K
    Current reportItem 3.02: Unregistered sale of shares0
    EDGAR →
  • Jul 31, 2026
    8-K
    Current reportItem 8.01: Other events0
    EDGAR →
  • Jul 28, 2026
    8-K
    Current reportItem 8.01: Other events0
    EDGAR →
  • Apr 30, 2026
    DEF 14A
    Proxy statement (2026-04-30)0
    EDGAR →
  • Apr 24, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-04-24)Item 8.01: Other events0
    EDGAR →
  • Mar 25, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-03-19)Item 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors0
    EDGAR →
  • Mar 11, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-03-10)Item 3.02: Unregistered sale of shares0
    EDGAR →
  • Feb 27, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-02-27)Item 8.01: Other events0
    EDGAR →
Recent material news

What the desk read this week

Further reading · curated for this filing

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Affiliate links — Filing.fyi earns a commission on Amazon purchases. We pick the books first, attach the link second.

Financial Shenanigans

Howard M. Schilit

Schilit's framework for the seven shenanigan types is the standard reference for the kind of MD&A pattern-matching this site does.

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The Interpretation of Financial Statements

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The original — and still the clearest — explanation of why working-capital trends matter more than headline earnings.

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Quality of Earnings

Thornton L. O'glove

Out of print, expensive, worth it. The chapter on receivables-vs-revenue divergence applies almost word-for-word to most distressed filings.

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