GE Vernova Inc.
GEV Industrials · Specialty Industrial MachineryWatch.
Backlog grows to $150.2 billion as profit rises; Altman Z″ flags distress zone.
The four readings.
What the filing actually says.
The filings show strong top-line and cash momentum alongside balance-sheet and segment risks that a casual reader could miss. The Beneish M-Score is -2.456, below the -1.78 threshold, so it is not in the elevated manipulation-risk zone; this is a screening result, not proof either way. The Altman Z″-Score is 0.62, which falls in the distress zone under the standard thresholds. That zone is a screening signal about financial stress, and it should be read alongside the cash flow evidence rather than alone. Operating cash flow of $4.99 billion against net income of $4.88 billion gives a ratio of 1.02, meaning 2025 reported profit was matched by operating cash in roughly equal amounts. In 2024 the ratio was about 1.66 ($2.58 billion against $1.55 billion), and in 2022 operating cash flow was negative at -$114 million. The recent 10-Q risk factors add context: they name supply-chain disruption, product quality or safety failures, credit-rating downgrades, and adverse legal outcomes. The forward-looking statements also flag the Haliade-X backlog and its installation timelines. Readers may want to look at the Wind segment disclosures and the Prolec GE financing in the next 10-K, and at how the company funds the acquisition in its debt footnotes.
Catalyst.According to the 2025 10-K MD&A, the main driver is demand for grid and gas-power equipment. Total revenues were $38.07 billion, up 9% from $34.94 billion, with equipment revenues rising to $20.93 billion from $18.95 billion. Remaining performance obligations (RPO), a backlog measure, rose to $150.2 billion from $119.0 billion, led by Gas Power turbines and Grid Solutions switchgear and transformers. Operating income reached $1.39 billion versus $471 million, with Electrification and Power segment results named as the main contributors. Free cash flow was $3.7 billion, compared with $1.7 billion a year earlier.
Hidden risk.The Altman Z″-Score of 0.62 sits in the distress zone, and the balance sheet has become more leveraged. Total liabilities were $50.72 billion against equity of $11.18 billion at December 31, 2025, roughly 4.5 times equity, compared with $40.89 billion and $9.55 billion a year earlier (about 4.3 times). The pending Prolec GE purchase of the remaining 50% stake is about $5.3 billion at closing, funded equally by cash and debt. Wind is a weak spot: the MD&A cites Offshore Wind project delays and Onshore Wind orders affected by U.S. policy uncertainty. Tariffs cost approximately $250 million in 2025 after contractual protections.
What traders are betting.
The metric
Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.
- Shares sold short
- 7.4M
- Change since Aug 31
- −15.8%
- Days to cover
- 3.4
What it tells us
Few traders are betting against GEV. Levels this low are common for large, widely held companies.
Short sellers closed some of their bets: shares sold short fell 15.8% since the Aug 31 report.
At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 3.4 days to buy back every borrowed share.
How investors use it
- Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
- Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
- Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
- Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.
Annual report, quarterly reports & proxy statement
The annual report (10-K), quarterly reports (10-Q), proxy statements (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) GE Vernova filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.
- Aug 27, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directorsEDGAR →★ Curriculum-relevant
- Jul 22, 202610-QQuarterly report0EDGAR →
- Jul 22, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Apr 3, 2026DEF 14AProxy statement (2026-05-20)0EDGAR →
- Feb 4, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-02-02)Item 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
- Jan 29, 202610-KAnnual report (2025-12-31)Period: 2025-12-310EDGAR →
- Jan 28, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-01-28)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Jan 21, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-01-21)Item 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors0EDGAR →
- Oct 22, 202510-QQuarterly report (2025-09-30)Period: 2025-09-300EDGAR →
- Mar 28, 2025DEF 14AProxy statement (2025-05-14)0EDGAR →
What the desk read this week
If this case caught your eye
Financial Shenanigans
Schilit's framework for the seven shenanigan types is the standard reference for the kind of MD&A pattern-matching this site does.
View on Amazon →The Interpretation of Financial Statements
The original — and still the clearest — explanation of why working-capital trends matter more than headline earnings.
View on Amazon →Quality of Earnings
Out of print, expensive, worth it. The chapter on receivables-vs-revenue divergence applies almost word-for-word to most distressed filings.
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