The Walt Disney Company
DIS Communication Services · EntertainmentFairly valued.
Fiscal 2025 profit more than doubled, but first-quarter operating cash flow fell to $735 million.
The four readings.
What the filing actually says.
Read together, the annual figures and the quarterly filing describe a company with stronger reported earnings but a more demanding cash profile. The Beneish M-Score is -2.571, which is below the -1.78 threshold and is not in the elevated manipulation-risk zone; this is a screening result, not a finding that the accounts are accurate. The Altman Z-Score variant reported here (Z-double-prime) is 2.58, which the label places in the grey zone between 1.10 and 2.60, meaning the score signals neither a clearly safe nor a clearly distressed position. Operating cash flow of $18.1 billion against net income of $12.4 billion gives a ratio of 1.46, so fiscal 2025 cash generation exceeded accounting profit, which is usually a reassuring sign. The first quarter of fiscal 2026 weakened that picture. Operating cash was $735 million against $3,205 million a year earlier, with an outflow of $1,386 million for income taxes and a $1,806 million increase in receivables shown in the cash flow statement. Management also spent $2,034 million on share repurchases and $3,013 million on parks investments, with $4,007 million of net commercial paper borrowing helping to fund the period. The risk-factor update names the YouTube TV removal and rising sports programming costs as concrete pressures on distribution economics. Intellectual property risks cover expired copyrights such as Steamboat Willie, AI-enabled infringement, and patent suits against streaming services. Management concluded disclosure controls were effective as of December 27, 2025. Readers may want to look at Note 12 on legal matters, which the filing incorporates by reference, since the excerpt provided does not itemize those matters.
Catalyst.Fiscal 2025 results show growth: revenues reached $94.42 billion, up 3.4% from $91.36 billion, and operating income rose to $17.55 billion from $15.6 billion. In the quarter ended December 27, 2025, total revenues were $25,981 million versus $24,690 million, about 5.2% higher, with services revenue at $23,206 million. Capital spending is moving toward the parks: investments in parks, resorts and other property were $3,013 million in the quarter, up from $2,466 million a year earlier. Net income attributable to Disney was $2,402 million, compared with $2,554 million in the prior-year quarter, so profit did not grow in step with revenue in that period.
Hidden risk.The risk-factor update says the Company's channels were temporarily removed from YouTube TV after a distribution contract expired without agreement on renewal terms, and that renewals with certain MVPDs scheduled for fiscal 2026 could bring further blackouts. Carriage terms have also reduced the number of linear networks distributors carry, and the filing warns that programming rights costs may rise faster than revenue from them. Quarterly cash also weakened sharply: cash provided by operations was $735 million versus $3,205 million a year earlier, while share repurchases were $2,034 million versus $794 million. Current portion of borrowings rose to $10,819 million from $6,711 million at fiscal year-end.
What traders are betting.
The metric
Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.
- Shares sold short
- 19.6M
- Change since Aug 31
- −5.1%
- Days to cover
- 2.3
What it tells us
Few traders are betting against DIS. Levels this low are common for large, widely held companies.
Little changed since the Aug 31 report (−5.1%).
At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 2.3 days to buy back every borrowed share.
How investors use it
- Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
- Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
- Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
- Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.
Annual report, quarterly reports & proxy statement
The annual report (10-K), quarterly reports (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) The Walt Disney Company filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.
- Aug 5, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Aug 5, 202610-QQuarterly report0EDGAR →
- Mar 20, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-03-18)Item 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors; Item 5.07: Shareholder vote results0EDGAR →
- Mar 3, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-02-27)Item 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
- Feb 24, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-02-20)Item 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors0EDGAR →
- Feb 12, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-02-10)No specific items found in 8-K.0EDGAR →
- Feb 3, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-02-02)Item 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors; Item 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
- Feb 2, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-02-02)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Feb 2, 202610-QQuarterly report (2025-12-27)Period: 2025-12-270EDGAR →
- Jan 22, 2026DEF 14AProxy statement (2026-03-18)0EDGAR →
- Nov 13, 202510-KAnnual report (2025-09-27)Period: 2025-09-270EDGAR →
If this case caught your eye
Financial Shenanigans
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