Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
CMG Consumer Cyclical · RestaurantsFairly valued.
Fairly Valued (Neutral) — Filing.fyi's reading derived from the latest 10-K and forensic scores.
What the filing actually says.
Chipotle’s First Quarter 2026 10-Q presents a mixed financial picture, where top-line growth did not translate to bottom-line expansion. Total revenue, which is the total amount of income generated by the sale of goods or services, increased 7.4% to $3.1 billion year-over-year. However, diluted earnings per share, representing profit allocated to each outstanding share considering all convertible securities, decreased 17.9% to $0.23 from $0.28. This divergence between revenue and earnings is a primary observation from the financial highlights presented in Item 7. Management identifies several key operating metrics, including comparable restaurant sales, food, beverage, and packaging as a percentage of total revenue, and new restaurant openings, as drivers for long-term growth and indicators of operational strategy effectiveness.
The absence of computed forensic scores in this filing limits certain quantitative insights. The Beneish M-Score (Beneish, 1999), an eight-ratio earnings-manipulation detector, is not available. Similarly, Altman’s Z″ (Altman, 1968), a bankruptcy-distress index, and Piotroski’s F-Score (Piotroski, 2000), a nine-point fundamental strength scan, are also uncalculated. The Fog Index (Gunning, 1952), a readability score where 18+ suggests obfuscation, is likewise unavailable. While these metrics offer specific, academically-grounded lenses for financial scrutiny, their absence means the filing must be interpreted without these particular quantitative flags.
Item 7’s discussion of “key operating metrics” offers a view into management’s focus and the business’s underlying performance. Among these, Comparable restaurant sales increased 0.5% year-over-year. This metric, which measures sales growth at established locations, is a critical indicator of organic demand and customer engagement, distinct from growth fueled solely by new store openings. The relatively modest increase suggests that while total revenue expanded, the core existing restaurant base saw limited growth. This dynamic is further contextualized by management’s stated belief that these metrics are useful to investors for assessing business growth and the effectiveness of marketing and operational strategies.
This 10-Q provides a snapshot of Chipotle’s financial condition and operational trends for the first quarter of 2026, highlighting specific revenue and earnings figures. It details management’s chosen metrics for assessing business growth and the effectiveness of strategies, such as the performance of comparable restaurant sales and the impact of new restaurant openings. However, the filing cannot, by itself, determine the intrinsic value of the security or predict future market conditions. It does not offer insights into broader economic shifts, competitive pressures, or evolving consumer preferences beyond the reported numbers. A comprehensive assessment would require integrating these disclosed facts with external market analysis and a view on the company’s long-term strategic execution, which is beyond the scope of this filing.
Filing timeline
- Apr 30, 202610-QQuarterly report (2026-03-31)Period: 2026-03-310Read →
- Apr 29, 20268-KMaterial event (2026-04-29)### Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition . On April 29, 2026, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. issued a press release announcing earnings and oth0Read →
- Apr 28, 2026DEF 14AProxy statement (2026-06-11)0Read →
- Apr 27, 20268-KMaterial event (2026-04-27)### Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure . Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (“Chipotle”) today announced it has hired Fernando Machado as its Chief Brand Officer, eff0Read →
- Feb 4, 202610-KAnnual report (2025-12-31)Period: 2025-12-310Read →
- Feb 3, 20268-KMaterial event (2026-02-03)### Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition . On February 3, 2026, we issued a press release announcing earnings and other financial results for0Read →
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