Conagra Brands, Inc.

CAG Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Delayed 15 min
Last close
$14.18
Oct 16, 2026
52-week range
$12.53 — $20.32
-30% from high
Market cap
6.8B
Diluted basis
Dividend yield
4.9%
P/E
—
Trailing
Filing.fyi verdict · Oct 16, 2026

Fairly valued.

Conagra posts $1.92 billion net loss in fiscal 2026 as revenue falls 2.9%

Neutral Beneish: -3.53Altman Z″: 0.65Piotroski: 5/9Fog: 16.4
RED DEEP 57 / 100
Composite Health
Forensic readings · derived from the latest filing

The four readings.

Each score answers a different question. The composite at the top is the average; the disagreement below is the story.
Beneish M Earnings manipulation
-3.53
Clean
−3.0 threshold −1.78 +1.0
Altman Z″ Bankruptcy proximity
0.65
Distress zone
0 threshold 1.10 / 2.60 4.0
Piotroski F Fundamental health (0–9)
5
Mixed
0 threshold 6+ 9
Fog Index MD&A readability
16.36
Dense
8 threshold ≥ 18 = murky 24
AI synthesis · written from this company's SEC filings · not investment advice

What the filing actually says.

AI · forensic preset

Read together, the filings show a sharp drop in reported profit in fiscal 2026 alongside a weaker balance sheet. Revenue declined 2.9% to $11.28 billion, but the move to a $1.92 billion net loss is far larger than the revenue change would suggest, so the loss is the item that needs explaining. Total assets fell to $17.27 billion from $20.93 billion, and liabilities to $10.92 billion. The forensic scores should be read one at a time. The Beneish M-Score is -3.530, below the -1.78 threshold and not in the elevated manipulation-risk zone. This is a screening output, and a non-elevated reading does not confirm that reported figures are accurate. The Altman Z″-Score is 0.65, which falls in the distress zone; lower values indicate more financial stress, and the zone is an estimate, not a forecast of default. The Piotroski F-Score is 5 of 9 computable signals, where a higher count means stronger results on a checklist of profitability, leverage, and efficiency tests, so 5 sits in the middle. The Fog Index is 16.36, in the hard-to-read band of 14 to 18, so the MD&A demands careful reading. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of -0.73 is negative only because net income is negative. The filings name specific exposures: wheat, corn, vegetable oils, pork, dairy, and tinplate steel for canned packaging, the last affected by tariffs. A hypothetical 10% move in agriculture commodity prices would produce a potential gain or loss of $11.0 million on related contracts. The 10-Q reports no material changes to risk factors. Readers may want to look at Note 16 of the 10-K and Note 12 of the 10-Q for legal contingency detail, which the excerpt does not reproduce.

Catalyst.Revenue for fiscal 2026 (ended May 31, 2026) was $11.28 billion, down from $11.61 billion in fiscal 2025, a 2.9% decline. The fiscal 2026 result includes an operating loss of $1.63 billion, compared with operating income of $1.36 billion a year earlier. The focus named in the risk factors is offsetting cost pressure: the company anticipates continued elevated input cost inflation in fiscal 2027 and plans to respond through productivity gains, cost cuts, pricing, and hedging. In the first quarter of fiscal 2027 (ended August 30, 2026), the company repurchased 2,662,660 shares, leaving about $793.6 million under its repurchase authorization. The excerpt provided does not include the MD&A results discussion that would explain the drivers of the fiscal 2026 loss.

Hidden risk.The most easily missed item is the swing from profit to loss: net income moved from $1.15 billion in fiscal 2025 to a loss of $1.92 billion in fiscal 2026, while operating cash flow stayed positive at $1.4 billion. Equity fell from $8.93 billion to $6.36 billion over the same year. Long-term debt on the annual balance sheet is $6.46 billion, while the 10-Q reports a carrying amount of $7.73 billion including current installments, and a 1% rise in interest rates would decrease the fair value of fixed-rate debt by approximately $318.0 million. The excerpt does not state what caused the loss, so readers may want to look at the full 10-K for that explanation.

Market signals · from trading data, not filings

What traders are betting.

The scores above come from what CAG reports to the SEC. These readings come from how traders are positioned in its shares. They change quickly, they can be wrong, and they are not part of the verdict.
Short interest Shares sold short · reported twice a month
10.6%
of the shares available to trade
High
0%5% · 10% · 20%25%+

The metric

Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.

Shares sold short
39.2M
Change since Aug 31
−16.2%
Days to cover
3.1

What it tells us

A large group of traders is betting that CAG shares will fall. That is a strong negative view, and also a crowd that would have to buy shares back if the price rises.

Short sellers closed some of their bets: shares sold short fell 16.2% since the Aug 31 report.

At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 3.1 days to buy back every borrowed share.

How investors use it

  • Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
  • Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
  • Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
  • Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.

Lesson: short interest, explained →

Short-interest report for Sep 30, 2026, via Yahoo Finance. Reports come out about a week and a half after that date.

SEC filings · last 12 months

Annual report, quarterly reports & proxy statement

The annual report (10-K), quarterly reports (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) Conagra Brands filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.

  • Sep 30, 2026
    10-Q
    Quarterly report (2026-08-30)Period: 2026-08-300
    EDGAR →
  • Sep 30, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-09-30)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0
    EDGAR →
  • Sep 28, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-09-23)Item 5.07: Shareholder vote results0
    EDGAR →
  • Aug 11, 2026
    DEF 14A
    Proxy statement (2026-09-23)0
    EDGAR →
  • Jul 28, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-07-28)Item 1.01: Signed a material agreement; Item 2.03: New debt or other financial obligation; Item 8.01: Other events
    ★ Curriculum-relevant
    EDGAR →
  • Jul 28, 2026
    8-K
    Current reportItem 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors
    ★ Curriculum-relevant
    EDGAR →
  • Jul 15, 2026
    8-K
    Current reportItem 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0
    EDGAR →
  • Jul 15, 2026
    10-K
    Annual report (2026-05-31)Period: 2026-05-310
    EDGAR →
  • May 7, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-05-05)Item 5.03: Charter or bylaw change; fiscal-year change0
    EDGAR →
  • Apr 13, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-04-08)Item 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors; Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)0
    EDGAR →
  • Apr 1, 2026
    10-Q
    Quarterly report (2026-02-22)Period: 2026-02-220
    EDGAR →
  • Apr 1, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-04-01)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0
    EDGAR →
Further reading · curated for this filing

If this case caught your eye

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Financial Shenanigans

Howard M. Schilit

Schilit's framework for the seven shenanigan types is the standard reference for the kind of MD&A pattern-matching this site does.

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The Interpretation of Financial Statements

Benjamin Graham

The original — and still the clearest — explanation of why working-capital trends matter more than headline earnings.

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Quality of Earnings

Thornton L. O'glove

Out of print, expensive, worth it. The chapter on receivables-vs-revenue divergence applies almost word-for-word to most distressed filings.

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