Booking Holdings Inc.
BKNG Consumer Cyclical · Travel ServicesDeep value.
Booking's revenue and cash flow grew in 2025, but shareholders' equity turned negative.
The four readings.
What the filing actually says.
The forensic scores in the data point in different directions and should be read individually. The Altman Z″-Score is 7.64, which the label places in the safe zone of 2.60 or above. That measure is built from balance-sheet and earnings ratios, so it does not capture the shift to negative equity shown in the annual figures, where equity fell from $2.78 billion in 2022 to negative $5.58 billion in 2025. The Fog Index is 18.74, which the label places above 18, meaning very hard to read. For a reader working through the MD&A, that band signals that the management narrative is dense and that the currency, segment and investment discussion takes extra effort to follow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio appears in the data as 0.00, but the 2025 net income figure is not among the supplied facts, so this ratio cannot be checked against the rest of the annual data. Readers may want to look at the reported 2025 net income line in the 2025 Form 10-K before drawing any conclusion from that number. The filing's concrete items deserve close reading as well. The 10-Q lists four senior notes issued under a base indenture, with coupons ranging from 3.500% to 5.375%, which raises the company's fixed obligations at a time when liabilities already exceed assets. The Item 5 disclosures show the Chief Financial Officer and Chief Human Resources Officer adopted Rule 10b5-1 trading plans for future sales of company shares. Neither item is unusual on its own, but together with the repurchase table they illustrate how much of the company's capital allocation runs through share activity. The Legal Proceedings and the supplemental risk factor from the first-quarter 10-Q are incorporated by reference and were not included in the supplied excerpts, so readers may want to review Note 13 and that filing directly.
Catalyst.Booking's annual revenue rose to $26.92 billion in 2025 from $23.74 billion in 2024, a 13.4% increase. Operating income moved to $8.82 billion from $7.55 billion, and operating cash flow reached $9.41 billion versus $8.32 billion. The 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 describes foreign currency effects on revenue and operating margins, along with the company's equity investments, where a hypothetical 10% decline would have produced a pre-tax loss of approximately $45 million. Management is also repurchasing shares under a $20 billion program announced February 20, 2025, with approximately $14.5 billion remaining at June 30, 2026. Filing exhibits also show senior notes due 2030, 2034, 2036 and 2039 documented in May 2026.
Hidden risk.The risk factors describe a threat to the company's distribution model. Google and other large platforms are adding AI assistants that may answer travel questions without sending users to Booking's sites, which the filing says could reduce direct traffic and bookings. Competitors may also operate at minimal or negative margins, which could force discounts and lower revenue as a percentage of gross bookings. On the balance sheet, total liabilities of $34.84 billion exceeded total assets of $29.26 billion at December 31, 2025, and long-term debt rose to $16.86 billion from $14.85 billion. Readers may want to examine how share repurchases and debt financing together produced this negative equity position.
What traders are betting.
The metric
Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.
- Shares sold short
- 22.6M
- Change since Aug 31
- +12.2%
- Days to cover
- 2.6
What it tells us
Few traders are betting against BKNG. Levels this low are common for large, widely held companies.
Short sellers added to their bets: shares sold short grew 12.2% since the Aug 31 report.
At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 2.6 days to buy back every borrowed share.
How investors use it
- Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
- Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
- Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
- Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.
Annual report, quarterly report & proxy statement
The annual report (10-K), quarterly report (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) Booking filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.
- Aug 4, 202610-QQuarterly report (2026-06-30)Period: 2026-06-300EDGAR →
- Aug 4, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-08-04)No specific items found in 8-K.0EDGAR →
- Jun 2, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-06-02)No specific items found in 8-K.0EDGAR →
- May 11, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-05-05)Item 1.01: Signed a material agreement; Item 2.03: New debt or other financial obligation; Item 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
- Apr 21, 2026DEF 14AProxy statement (2026-06-02)0EDGAR →
- Feb 18, 202610-KAnnual report (2025-12-31)Period: 2025-12-310EDGAR →
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