Broadcom Inc.
AVGO Technology · SemiconductorsDeep value.
Broadcom's fiscal 2025 revenue rose 23.9% as AI demand lifted profits, with customer concentration rising.
The four readings.
What the filing actually says.
The forensic screens in the data point in a generally reassuring direction, but they do not settle the question. The Beneish M-Score for fiscal 2025 is -2.140, which is below -1.78 and therefore not in the elevated manipulation-risk zone. This is a statistical screen built from year-over-year ratios, so it means the ratios did not trip the warning pattern; it does not verify the reported numbers. The Altman Z″-Score is 2.64, in the safe zone at 2.60 or above. It estimates financial distress risk for non-financial companies, which fits a semiconductor and software business like Broadcom. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.19 for fiscal 2025, meaning operating cash flow of $27.54 billion exceeded net income of $23.13 billion, a cash-backed earnings pattern. A Piotroski F-Score and a Fog Index are not on file in this dataset, so this review does not rely on them. Readers may want to look at the Two-Year Equity Awards granted in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, which pushed stock-based compensation to $2,176 million in the quarter from $1,280 million a year earlier, with $21,971 million of unrecognized compensation cost remaining over a 3.2-year weighted-average service period. On the balance sheet, total liabilities were $90.03 billion against equity of $79.87 billion at February 1, 2026. Total indebtedness was $67,970 million, with $2,252 million payable within 12 months, and the company cited a $7.5 billion revolving credit facility. Cash fell to $14,174 million from $16,178 million after $7,850 million of buybacks and $3,086 million of dividends in the quarter. Readers may want to watch how these shareholder returns and the debt load are balanced as the Two-Year Equity Awards vest.
Catalyst.Revenue growth is coming mainly from the semiconductor solutions segment, which the 10-Q attributes to strong demand for custom AI accelerators and AI networking products. In the quarter ended February 1, 2026, total net revenue was $19,311 million, up 29% from $14,916 million. Semiconductor solutions revenue rose 52% to $12,515 million, while infrastructure software was nearly flat at $6,796 million. Operating income reached $8,563 million, up 37%. Fiscal 2025 showed the same pattern: revenue reached $63.89 billion, up 23.9% from $51.57 billion, and operating income climbed to $25.48 billion from $13.46 billion.
Hidden risk.The most material tension is customer concentration. Direct sales to one semiconductor solutions customer, a distributor, were 42% of net revenue in the quarter, up from 29% a year earlier. Management estimates its top five end customers were about 50% of net revenue, up from 40%, and says it expects significant concentration to continue. The loss of, or a significant decrease in demand from, any of those customers could have a material adverse effect. Separately, the quarter's net income of $7,349 million includes a $315 million one-time gain from an excise tax reversal tied to the VMware acquisition. Goodwill and intangible assets total about $128.1 billion, roughly 75% of total assets.
What traders are betting.
The metric
Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.
- Shares sold short
- 54.2M
- Change since Aug 31
- +7.4%
- Days to cover
- 2.0
What it tells us
Few traders are betting against AVGO. Levels this low are common for large, widely held companies.
Little changed since the Aug 31 report (+7.4%).
At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 2.0 days to buy back every borrowed share.
How investors use it
- Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
- Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
- Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
- Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.
Annual report, quarterly reports & proxy statement
The annual report (10-K), quarterly reports (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) Broadcom filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.
- Sep 9, 202610-QQuarterly report0EDGAR →
- Sep 2, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 2.02: Results of operations (earnings); Item 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
- Apr 6, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-04-06)Item 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
- Apr 2, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-03-30)Item 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors0EDGAR →
- Mar 11, 202610-QQuarterly report (2026-02-01)Period: 2026-02-010EDGAR →
- Mar 4, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-03-04)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings); Item 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
- Mar 2, 2026DEF 14AProxy statement (2026-04-20)0EDGAR →
- Jan 13, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-01-13)Item 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
- Dec 18, 202510-KAnnual report (2025-11-02)Period: 2025-11-020EDGAR →
- Dec 11, 20258-KCurrent report (2025-12-11)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings); Item 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
- Sep 29, 20258-KCurrent report (2025-09-29)Item 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
- Sep 10, 202510-QQuarterly report (2025-08-03)Period: 2025-08-030EDGAR →
If this case caught your eye
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