Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.

APD Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Delayed 15 min
Last close
$296.60
Oct 16, 2026
52-week range
$229.11 — $314.87
-6% from high
Market cap
66B
Diluted basis
Dividend yield
2.4%
P/E
—
Trailing
Filing.fyi verdict · Oct 16, 2026

Fairly valued.

Air Products' FY2025 swung to a $394.5 million loss as project exit charges mount.

Neutral Beneish: -2.83Altman Z″: 2.17Piotroski: 2/9Fog: 17.9
RED DEEP 57 / 100
Composite Health
Forensic readings · derived from the latest filing

The four readings.

Each score answers a different question. The composite at the top is the average; the disagreement below is the story.
Beneish M Earnings manipulation
-2.83
Clean
−3.0 threshold −1.78 +1.0
Altman Z″ Bankruptcy proximity
2.17
Grey zone
0 threshold 1.10 / 2.60 4.0
Piotroski F Fundamental health (0–9)
2
Weak fundamentals
0 threshold 6+ 9
Fog Index MD&A readability
17.92
Dense
8 threshold ≥ 18 = murky 24
AI synthesis · written from this company's SEC filings · not investment advice

What the filing actually says.

AI · forensic preset

Air Products' FY2025 base is revenue of $12.04 billion, down 0.5% from $12.1 billion, with net income moving from $3.83 billion in FY2024 to a loss of $394.5 million. Total assets were $41.06 billion, liabilities $23.71 billion and equity $15.02 billion, down from $17.04 billion a year earlier. The 10-Q adds that the company took on additional long-term principal borrowings under project financing for the NEOM Green Hydrogen Project, and that its net financial instrument liability was $17.0 billion at 30 June 2026 against $17.2 billion at 30 September 2025, with 92% of debt fixed-rate. On the scores, the Beneish M-Score of -2.834 is below -1.78 and is not in the elevated manipulation-risk zone. That is a screening result, not proof that the figures are accurate. The Altman Z-Score (Z double-prime) of 2.17 sits in the grey zone between 1.10 and 2.60, meaning it is neither clearly safe nor clearly distressed. The Piotroski F-Score is 2 of 6 computable signals, a partial read based on six tests. The Fog Index of 17.92 falls in the hard-to-read band of 14 to 18, so the MD&A rewards a slow read. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of -8.26 is not meaningful here because net income is negative; the raw figures, $3.26 billion of operating cash flow against a $394.5 million net loss, tell more. Readers may want to look at how the held-for-sale assets and any further project charges are valued, since the filing describes those estimates as Level 3 judgments that could materially change the timing and size of impairments.

Catalyst.The 10-Q for the period ended 30 June 2026 centers on an ongoing project review that has produced large charges. In the first nine months of fiscal 2026, the company recorded project exit charges of $2.9 billion pre-tax, including a $2.2 billion impairment on plant and equipment tied to project exit decisions. It also holds assets classified as held for sale from prior-year exit decisions, which management says it is actively marketing. Against this backdrop, FY2025 revenue was $12.04 billion, down 0.5% from $12.1 billion in FY2024, and FY2025 operating income was negative $877 million.

Hidden risk.The easiest tension to miss is between the MD&A's description of the project review as ongoing and the size of write-downs already taken. The filing says further project decisions could produce additional charges. Fair value for the held-for-sale assets rests on an internal discounted cash flow analysis classified as Level 3, meaning no observable market prices. Risk factors add that about 60% of fiscal 2025 sales came from outside the United States, that the company chooses not to hedge translation of foreign earnings, and that large clean hydrogen projects are being built before offtake agreements cover a substantial share of expected output. Operating cash flow of $3.26 billion in FY2025 remained positive while net income was a loss, a gap readers may want to look at in the cash flow statement.

Market signals · from trading data, not filings

What traders are betting.

The scores above come from what APD reports to the SEC. These readings come from how traders are positioned in its shares. They change quickly, they can be wrong, and they are not part of the verdict.
Short interest Shares sold short · reported twice a month
2.3%
of the shares available to trade
Low
0%5% · 10% · 20%25%+

The metric

Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.

Shares sold short
5.1M
Change since Aug 31
+25.3%
Days to cover
4.3

What it tells us

Few traders are betting against APD. Levels this low are common for large, widely held companies.

Short sellers added to their bets: shares sold short grew 25.3% since the Aug 31 report.

At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 4.3 days to buy back every borrowed share.

How investors use it

  • Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
  • Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
  • Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
  • Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.

Lesson: short interest, explained →

Short-interest report for Sep 30, 2026, via Yahoo Finance. Reports come out about a week and a half after that date.

SEC filings · last 12 months

Annual report, quarterly reports & proxy statement

The annual report (10-K), quarterly reports (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) Air Products and Chemicals filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.

  • Jul 30, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-07-30)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0
    EDGAR →
  • Jul 30, 2026
    10-Q
    Quarterly report (2026-06-30)Period: 2026-06-300
    EDGAR →
  • Jun 30, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-06-26)Item 2.06: Material impairment (write-down); Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)0
    EDGAR →
  • Apr 30, 2026
    10-Q
    Quarterly report (2026-03-31)Period: 2026-03-310
    EDGAR →
  • Apr 30, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-04-30)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0
    EDGAR →
  • Jan 30, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-01-30)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0
    EDGAR →
  • Jan 29, 2026
    8-K
    Current report (2026-01-28)No specific items found in 8-K.0
    EDGAR →
  • Dec 11, 2025
    DEF 14A
    Proxy statement (2026-01-28)0
    EDGAR →
  • Nov 20, 2025
    10-K
    Annual report (2025-09-30)Period: 2025-09-300
    EDGAR →
Further reading · curated for this filing

If this case caught your eye

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Financial Shenanigans

Howard M. Schilit

Schilit's framework for the seven shenanigan types is the standard reference for the kind of MD&A pattern-matching this site does.

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The Interpretation of Financial Statements

Benjamin Graham

The original — and still the clearest — explanation of why working-capital trends matter more than headline earnings.

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Quality of Earnings

Thornton L. O'glove

Out of print, expensive, worth it. The chapter on receivables-vs-revenue divergence applies almost word-for-word to most distressed filings.

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