Amgen Inc.
AMGN Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - GeneralWatch.
Amgen's 2025 profit rebound sits beside a distress-zone Altman score and heavy debt.
The four readings.
What the filing actually says.
The filings describe rising earnings alongside rising pressure on the balance sheet. The Altman Z″-Score of 0.14 falls in the distress zone, the label's range below 1.10. In plain English, this model combines working capital, retained earnings, operating profit, equity value and sales into one number; a low figure means the balance sheet looks weak relative to liabilities. The model is not designed for banks or financial firms, and Amgen is a drug manufacturer, so the score applies here, but it still needs context. A distress-zone reading does not mean near-term failure, since Amgen reported $9.96 billion of operating cash flow in 2025, but it signals that leverage deserves a close read. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.29 means operating cash flow was about 29% above reported net income in 2025. That ratio was about 2.81 in 2024, computed from $11.49 billion and $4.09 billion, and it fell because net income rose faster than operating cash flow declined. This is a meaningful shift in earnings quality that readers may want to look at alongside the other income line. The Beneish M-Score, Piotroski F-Score and Fog Index are not on file for this filing, so this synthesis does not characterize them. Revenue growth of 10.0% is the most direct growth measure available. Filing items readers may want to look at include the July 31, 2025 MFN Letter, the July Tariff EOs effective August 7, 2025, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed July 4, 2025, the Inflation Reduction Act, the biosimilar competition risk factor cross-referenced in the MD&A, and the orphan drug exclusivity held for BLINCYTO and UPLIZNA. The risk-factor excerpt provided for the 10-Q is a table of contents, so the detailed risk text was not available for this review. No news items were on file.
Catalyst.Amgen's revenue rose to $36.75 billion in 2025 from $33.42 billion in 2024, a 10.0% increase, and net income climbed to $7.71 billion from $4.09 billion. The 10-Q income statement shows the growth coming from product sales: third-quarter 2025 product sales were $9,137 million versus $8,151 million a year earlier, and nine-month total revenues reached $26,885 million against $24,338 million. Management is also spending more on research, with nine-month R&D expense of $5,130 million versus $4,240 million. The filings name Repatha, Prolia, XGEVA and MariTide among the products and product candidates.
Hidden risk.The Altman Z″-Score for 2025 is 0.14, which falls in the distress zone (below 1.10). This is a statistical screen rather than a forecast of default, but it reflects a thin equity base against a large debt load: long-term debt was $50.01 billion at year-end 2025 against equity of $8.66 billion. Operating cash flow also fell to $9.96 billion from $11.49 billion even as net income rose. The 10-Q shows other income, net of $3,204 million for the first nine months of 2025 versus $1,288 million a year earlier, and 'Other' operating expenses of $1,236 million versus $187 million. Readers may want to look at what drove the net income gain.
What traders are betting.
The metric
Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.
- Shares sold short
- 14M
- Change since Aug 31
- +8.1%
- Days to cover
- 4.5
What it tells us
Few traders are betting against AMGN. Levels this low are common for large, widely held companies.
Little changed since the Aug 31 report (+8.1%).
At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 4.5 days to buy back every borrowed share.
How investors use it
- Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
- Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
- Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
- Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.
Annual report, quarterly reports & proxy statement
The annual report (10-K), quarterly reports (10-Q), proxy statements (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) Amgen filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.
- Aug 4, 202610-QQuarterly report0EDGAR →
- Jul 31, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 1.05: Material cybersecurity incident0EDGAR →
- Apr 7, 2026DEF 14AProxy statement (2026-05-19)0EDGAR →
- Feb 19, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-02-17)No specific items found in 8-K.0EDGAR →
- Feb 13, 202610-KAnnual report (2025-12-31)Period: 2025-12-310EDGAR →
- Feb 3, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-02-03)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Jan 30, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-01-30)Item 1.02: Ended a material agreement0EDGAR →
- Nov 5, 202510-QQuarterly report (2025-09-30)Period: 2025-09-300EDGAR →
- Apr 9, 2025DEF 14AProxy statement (2025-05-23)0EDGAR →
If this case caught your eye
Financial Shenanigans
Schilit's framework for the seven shenanigan types is the standard reference for the kind of MD&A pattern-matching this site does.
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The original — and still the clearest — explanation of why working-capital trends matter more than headline earnings.
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