Analog Devices, Inc.
ADI Technology · SemiconductorsDeep value.
Analog Devices' earnings rebound is strong, but its Altman Z-Score sits in distress zone.
The four readings.
What the filing actually says.
The forensic scores point in different directions, and a careful reader should weigh them together rather than in isolation. The Beneish M-Score is -2.791, which is below the -1.78 threshold, so it is not in the elevated manipulation-risk zone. This is a statistical screen, and a score outside the zone is not proof that reported figures are accurate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.12 means operating cash flow of $4.81 billion against net income of $2.27 billion for fiscal 2025. Reported profit is backed by more cash than the income statement alone shows, which is usually read as a constructive sign. The Piotroski F-Score is 8 of 9 computable signals, a checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency tests in which most signals passed. The Altman Z-Score of 0.79 falls in the distress zone, below 1.81. The Altman model blends working capital, retained earnings, operating earnings, equity relative to liabilities, and sales relative to assets. It was built largely around manufacturing firms, so a reader should treat this result with caution rather than as a forecast of financial trouble. Business-level detail matters too. In the 10-Q, Automotive revenue grew only 8% to $794.4 million while Industrial and Communications grew far faster, and the company recorded a $15.6 million impairment on an asset group in its leased San Jose facilities. Distributors supplied 55% of first-quarter revenue, which is relevant given the filings' cautions about independent distributor performance. Readers may want to look at the Item 1A discussion of tariffs, export classifications, and indebtedness in the fiscal 2025 10-K.
Catalyst.According to the 10-Q for the quarter ended January 31, 2026, revenue rose 30% to $3.16 billion from $2.42 billion a year earlier, and net income more than doubled to $830.8 million, up 112%. Management ties the growth to broad-based demand, notably the wireline sub-market of Communications that supports datacenter expansion, where revenue rose 63% to $476.8 million. Industrial revenue grew 38% to $1.49 billion, with test equipment cited as a driver. Gross margin widened to 64.7% from 59.0%, which management attributes mainly to higher factory utilization and favorable product mix. For fiscal 2025, revenue grew 16.9% to $11.02 billion.
Hidden risk.The fiscal 2025 figures produce an Altman Z-Score of 0.79, which falls in the distress zone, even as reported profits recovered. The score is a screening model and does not prove financial trouble, but under its thresholds it signals a balance sheet that weighs against the company. Long-term debt rose from $6.63 billion at the end of fiscal 2024 to $8.15 billion at the end of fiscal 2025, an increase of about 23%, while total equity fell to $33.82 billion from $35.18 billion. The forward-looking statement list in the filings also cites tariffs, export classification changes, and risks related to indebtedness, so the strong recent quarter may not persist.
What traders are betting.
The metric
Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.
- Shares sold short
- 9.9M
- Change since Aug 31
- +13.5%
- Days to cover
- 3.0
What it tells us
Few traders are betting against ADI. Levels this low are common for large, widely held companies.
Short sellers added to their bets: shares sold short grew 13.5% since the Aug 31 report.
At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 3.0 days to buy back every borrowed share.
How investors use it
- Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
- Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
- Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
- Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.
Annual report, quarterly reports & proxy statement
The annual report (10-K), quarterly reports (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) Analog Devices filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.
- Sep 17, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 1.01: Signed a material agreementEDGAR →★ Curriculum-relevant
- Sep 9, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)0EDGAR →
- Aug 19, 202610-QQuarterly report0EDGAR →
- Aug 19, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Jul 29, 20268-KCurrent reportItem 8.01: Other events0EDGAR →
- Mar 12, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-03-11)Item 5.07: Shareholder vote results0EDGAR →
- Feb 18, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-02-17)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Feb 18, 202610-QQuarterly report (2026-01-31)Period: 2026-01-310EDGAR →
- Jan 23, 2026DEF 14AProxy statement (2026-03-11)0EDGAR →
- Jan 23, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-01-20)Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)0EDGAR →
- Nov 25, 202510-KAnnual report (2025-11-01)Period: 2025-11-010EDGAR →
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