Adobe Inc.
ADBE Technology · Software - ApplicationFairly valued.
Adobe's revenue and cash flow are growing, but long-term debt rose about 50%.
The four readings.
What the filing actually says.
The forensic scores present a mixed but mostly reassuring picture. The Beneish M-Score is -2.875, which is below -1.78 and therefore not in the elevated manipulation-risk zone. This is a screening result, not proof that the reported figures are accurate. The Altman Z-Score is 6.87, which is in the safe zone. Adobe is a software company rather than a bank, so the standard zone applies. The Piotroski F-Score is 7 of 9 computable signals, meaning seven of the nine checks that could be computed passed. The Fog Index is 22.11, above 18, which the label classifies as very hard to read. Readers may want to look at the MD&A's cost and segment tables directly rather than relying on the narrative summary. The 10-Q's remaining performance obligations were $22.16 billion, up 8%, which grew more slowly than quarterly revenue at 13%. That gap is worth tracking over future filings. Currency also mattered: a weaker U.S. dollar against EMEA currencies added about $280 million to nine-month revenue, while the cash flow hedging program produced net losses of $61 million for the same period. A goodwill impairment tied to the Publishing and Advertising business appears in the filing text, and the excerpt is truncated before its full size is shown. The risk factor excerpt comes from the 10-K for fiscal 2025, filed January 15, 2026, while the MD&A excerpt comes from a 10-Q filed September 22, 2026, so the two documents cover different periods.
Catalyst.Management points to subscription revenue, which reached $6.58 billion in the three months ended August 28, 2026, up 14% year over year. The MD&A credits strength in Creative Cloud flagship apps, Adobe Experience Manager, agentic web apps including the contribution from Semrush, and Acrobat. Total revenue for the quarter was $6.76 billion, up 13%. Adobe ARR reached $27.50 billion, up 11.2% when revalued at beginning-of-fiscal-2026 currency rates. Operating cash flow for the nine months was $7.65 billion, up 11%. For fiscal 2025, revenue was $23.77 billion and net income was $7.13 billion, up from $5.56 billion in fiscal 2024.
Hidden risk.Long-term debt rose from $4.13 billion at the end of fiscal 2024 to $6.21 billion at the end of fiscal 2025, an increase of about 50%. Over the same period, equity fell from $14.11 billion to $11.62 billion, and liabilities climbed to $17.87 billion. In the 10-Q, subscription cost of revenue rose 24% in the quarter, driven mainly by hosting and data center costs, while subscription revenue rose 14%. General and administrative expenses rose 30% for the nine months, with a loss contingency and a goodwill impairment each contributing to that increase.
What traders are betting.
The metric
Shares that traders have borrowed and sold, betting the price will fall, and not yet bought back. Brokers report the total to FINRA twice a month. Days to cover divides it by the shares that change hands on a typical day.
- Shares sold short
- 17.7M
- Change since Aug 31
- +1.9%
- Days to cover
- 3.2
What it tells us
A noticeable minority of traders is betting that ADBE shares will fall.
Little changed since the Aug 31 report (+1.9%).
At normal trading volume, short sellers would need about 3.2 days to buy back every borrowed share.
How investors use it
- Squeeze watching. Some aggressive traders seek out heavily shorted stocks, betting that good news will force short sellers to buy back shares and push the price higher.
- Hedging. Funds short one company to offset risk in another, often owning a stronger business and shorting a weaker one in the same industry.
- Timing. Chart-based traders pair rising short interest with price patterns, such as a break below a level where buyers used to step in, to decide when to enter or exit.
- Warning sign. Some owners treat a sharp rise in short interest as a red flag and respond by tightening stop-loss orders or holding smaller positions.
Annual report, quarterly reports & proxy statement
The annual report (10-K), quarterly reports (10-Q), proxy statement (DEF 14A) and current reports (8-K) Adobe filed in the last 12 months, each linked to the original document on SEC EDGAR.
- Sep 22, 202610-QQuarterly report (2026-08-28)Period: 2026-08-280EDGAR →
- Sep 10, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-09-10)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings)0EDGAR →
- Sep 8, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-09-02)Item 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors; Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)EDGAR →★ Curriculum-relevant
- Jul 17, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-07-14)Item 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directorsEDGAR →★ Curriculum-relevant
- Apr 21, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-04-15)Item 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors0EDGAR →
- Mar 25, 202610-QQuarterly report (2026-02-27)Period: 2026-02-270EDGAR →
- Mar 12, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-03-09)Item 2.02: Results of operations (earnings); Item 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors; Item 7.01: Regulation FD disclosure (investor materials)0EDGAR →
- Feb 27, 2026DEF 14AProxy statement (2026-04-15)0EDGAR →
- Jan 27, 20268-KCurrent report (2026-01-26)Item 5.02: Departure/appointment of officers or directors0EDGAR →
- Jan 15, 202610-KAnnual report (2025-11-28)Period: 2025-11-280EDGAR →
- Dec 10, 20258-KCurrent report (2025-12-10)No specific items found in 8-K.0EDGAR →
- Sep 24, 202510-QQuarterly report (2025-08-29)Period: 2025-08-290EDGAR →
If this case caught your eye
Financial Shenanigans
Schilit's framework for the seven shenanigan types is the standard reference for the kind of MD&A pattern-matching this site does.
View on Amazon →The Interpretation of Financial Statements
The original — and still the clearest — explanation of why working-capital trends matter more than headline earnings.
View on Amazon →Quality of Earnings
Out of print, expensive, worth it. The chapter on receivables-vs-revenue divergence applies almost word-for-word to most distressed filings.
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